Result
4:1
24/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 38
- Referee: Martens R. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.09 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (353/414) | 88% (366/415) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 1.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (353/414) | 88% (366/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (48/71) | 64% (14/22) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 81% (78/96) | 78% (96/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (3/8) | 12% (2/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (17/26) | 25% (6/24) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -1.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Fage R. ⚽,
- 21', van der Plas S. ↓, Kuhn W. ↑,
- 34', Kuhn W. ↓, Sidibe S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', van Gelderen L. ↓, Witteveen M. ↑,
- 46', Roemeratoe G. ↓, van Hedel R. ↑,
- 47', Fage R. 🟨,
- 49', 2 - 0, Cleonise D. ⚽, van Osch Y. (A),
- 63', Boetius J-P. ↓, van Kaam D. ↑,
- 63', Kuster H. ↓, Uneken J. ↑,
- 70', van Hedel R. 🟥,
- 73', 2 - 1, Bouhoudane S. ⚽, Fernandez N. (A),
- 76', Cleonise D. ↓, van der Venne R. ↑,
- 78', van der Leij T. 🟨,
- 79', Bawuah J. ↓, Ditmer S. ↑,
- 80', Verkooijen N. ↓, Jones A. ↑,
- 80', Koller J. ↓, Cornecion S. ↑,
- 85', 3 - 1, van der Venne R. ⚽, Fage R. (A),
- 90', 4 - 1, van der Venne R. ⚽, Familia-Castillo J. (A),
Chances of winning
Waalwijk 55.5% | Draw 21.4% | Jong PSV 23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waalwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Waalwijk - Jong PSV Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.71 ↑ (1.56) |
4.32 ↓ (4.67) |
4.03 ↓ (4.62) |
6.4% (7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Jong PSV?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 5.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Waalwijk is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
- Jong PSV is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Waalwijk is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R.
(Knee Injury)
van de Loo T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Waalwijk: Al Mazyani F.
(Injury)
Zorgdrager B.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 1.5:2.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 2:2.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Waalwijk won against Jong PSV?
Waalwijk has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong PSV won against Waalwijk?
Jong PSV has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Jong PSV were as follows:
01.12.2025
Jong PSV
-
Waalwijk
3:1
Latest results of Waalwijk
Latest results of Jong PSV
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
| 16 | Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )