Waalwijk vs Jong PSV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
24/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 38
  • Referee: Martens R. (Ned)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.951.09
Ball possession
49%51%
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
74
Big chances
62
Corner kicks
09
Passes
85% (353/414)88% (366/415)
Yellow cards
20
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.951.09
xG on target (xGOT)
2.491.34
Total shots
1616
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
79
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
127
Shots outside the box
49
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
62
Corner kicks
09
Touches in opposition box
2534
Accurate through passes
13
Offsides
45
Free kicks
610
Passes
85% (353/414)88% (366/415)
Long passes
68% (48/71)64% (14/22)
Passes in final third
81% (78/96)78% (96/123)
Crosses
38% (3/8)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.521.39
Throw ins
1317
Fouls
106
Tackles
65% (17/26)25% (6/24)
Duels won
5345
Clearances
3414
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.342.49
Goals prevented
0.34-1.51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Fage R. ,
  • 21', van der Plas S. , Kuhn W. ,
  • 34', Kuhn W. , Sidibe S. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', van Gelderen L. , Witteveen M. ,
  • 46', Roemeratoe G. , van Hedel R. ,
  • 47', Fage R. 🟨,
  • 49', 2 - 0, Cleonise D. , van Osch Y. (A),
  • 63', Boetius J-P. , van Kaam D. ,
  • 63', Kuster H. , Uneken J. ,
  • 70', van Hedel R. 🟥,
  • 73', 2 - 1, Bouhoudane S. , Fernandez N. (A),
  • 76', Cleonise D. , van der Venne R. ,
  • 78', van der Leij T. 🟨,
  • 79', Bawuah J. , Ditmer S. ,
  • 80', Verkooijen N. , Jones A. ,
  • 80', Koller J. , Cornecion S. ,
  • 85', 3 - 1, van der Venne R. , Fage R. (A),
  • 90', 4 - 1, van der Venne R. , Familia-Castillo J. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Waalwijk
55.5%
Draw
21.4%
Jong PSV
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 20% 20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8% 19.7% 19.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Waalwijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Jong PSV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waalwijk than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Waalwijk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong PSV than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
  • Waalwijk - Jong PSV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (1.56)
    4.32
    (4.67)
    4.03
    (4.62)
    6.4%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Waalwijk - Jong PSV?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Waalwijk will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jong PSV will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 5.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Waalwijk is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
    • Jong PSV is Qualified for Eredivisie (Promotion )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Waalwijk is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Waalwijk: Kuijpers R. (Knee Injury) van de Loo T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Waalwijk: Al Mazyani F. (Injury) Zorgdrager B. (Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Waalwijk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 1.5:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Waalwijk won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 2:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Waalwijk - Jong PSV were as follows:
    01.12.2025 Jong PSV - Waalwijk 3:1
    Latest results of Waalwijk
    17.04.2026 ADO Den Haag - Waalwijk 5:1
    10.04.2026 Waalwijk - Emmen 5:0
    06.04.2026 Helmond Sport - Waalwijk 2:2
    03.04.2026 MVV Maastricht - Waalwijk 1:3
    21.03.2026 Waalwijk - Den Bosch 2:3
    Latest results of Jong PSV
    17.04.2026 Jong PSV - Jong Ajax 0:1
    13.04.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong PSV 0:2
    06.04.2026 Jong PSV - VVV-Venlo 1:0
    03.04.2026 Willem II - Jong PSV 1:0
    20.03.2026 Jong PSV - Vitesse 0:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag38292790:375389
    2Cambuur38239675:482778
    3Willem II382081059:421768
    4De Graafschap381891174:581663
    5Almere City381841678:631558
    6Waalwijk3816101271:591258
    7Jong PSV381751666:64256
    8Roda3814131159:54555
    9Den Bosch381491565:69-451
    10Dordrecht3812111548:56-847
    11Eindhoven FC381451951:69-1847
    12Jong Utrecht3812101658:62-446
    13Venlo381361950:58-845
    14FC Emmen381291758:72-1445
    15Vitesse3815111264:55944
    16Oss3811111654:64-1044
    17Jong AZ381242261:76-1540
    18Helmond381091942:62-2039
    19Maastricht389111841:73-3238
    20Jong Ajax38982150:73-2335

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )