Result
08/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Erzgebirge Aue
24.1% | Draw
21% | Duisburg
54.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The chances for Duisburg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+1%)
Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.83 ↑
(3.82) |
4.39
(4.39) |
1.68
(1.68) |
8.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
- Aue is Relegated to
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 0.
- Aue has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Duisburg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- In this match, Duisburg is the team to beat.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aue won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzgebirge Aue won against Duisburg?
Erzgebirge Aue has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Duisburg won against Erzgebirge Aue?
Duisburg has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg were as follows:
13.12.2025
Duisburg
-
Erzgebirge Aue
0:0
12.05.2024
Duisburg
-
Erzgebirge Aue
2:2
09.12.2023
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Duisburg
1:1
05.05.2023
Duisburg
-
Erzgebirge Aue
3:0
08.11.2022
Erzgebirge Aue
-
Duisburg
0:2
Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
Latest results of Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck ✔ | 36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 61:30 | 31 | 76 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 69:50 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | RW Essen | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 74:64 | 10 | 64 |
| 5 | Verl | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 79:47 | 32 | 61 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 65:43 | 22 | 61 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 67:56 | 11 | 58 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 51:50 | 1 | 50 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 50:49 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Regensburg | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 54:56 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | Mannheim | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 57:67 | -10 | 49 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 46 |
| 14 | Saarbrucken | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Ingolstadt | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 58:54 | 4 | 43 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 62:67 | -5 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse ✔ | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 53:81 | -28 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm ✔ | 36 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 46:74 | -28 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 47:68 | -21 | 30 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 36 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 34:80 | -46 | 21 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
TSV Havelse is Relegated to
Ulm is Relegated to
Aue is Relegated to
Schweinfurt is Relegated to
