Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
13/12/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 18
  • Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 6
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
42
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
97
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1116
Throw-ins
3023
Fouls
158

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 8', Coskun C. 🟨,
  • 21', Bulic R. 🟨,
  • 39', Ehlers J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 61', Dittgen M. , Meuer S. ,
  • 61', Kruger F. , Topken T. ,
  • 61', Coskun C. , Gockan M. ,
  • 68', Clausen M. , Schmid M. ,
  • 76', Viet C. , Tugbenyo J. ,
  • 80', Tashchy B. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 81', Noss C. , Visser A. ,
  • 84', Stefaniak M. 🟨,
  • 88', Uhlmann E. , Simnica L. ,
  • 88', Seiffert M. , Collins J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Duisburg
55%
Draw
23.4%
Erzgebirge Aue
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 23.6% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5% 23.2% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
  • Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.76)
    3.96
    (3.93)
    4.28
    (3.91)
    8.1%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Duisburg (1.84) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Duisburg will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Duisburg (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Aue may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Duisburg is the team to beat.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Duisburg won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.5:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Duisburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue were as follows:
    12.05.2024 Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue 2:2
    09.12.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg 1:1
    05.05.2023 Duisburg - Erzgebirge Aue 3:0
    08.11.2022 Erzgebirge Aue - Duisburg 0:2
    Latest results of Duisburg
    06.12.2025 Energie Cottbus - Duisburg 3:2
    21.11.2025 Hoffenheim II - Duisburg 4:1
    01.11.2025 Osnabrück - Duisburg 0:0
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck27157543:251852
    2Cottbus27157553:391452
    3Duisburg26138547:331447
    4Verl27129661:402145
    5Munich 186027136844:37745
    6Wehen26135840:291144
    7Hansa Rostock261110544:301443
    8RW Essen261110550:44643
    9Mannheim261231143:47-439
    10Viktoria Koln271151138:35338
    11Ingolstadt2699845:36936
    12Hoffenheim II271051251:48335
    13Regensburg271051236:40-435
    14Stuttgart II271051233:44-1135
    15Alemannia Aachen26951243:48-532
    16Saarbrucken26611935:38-329
    17Aue27591330:45-1524
    18Ulm27731735:55-2024
    19TSV Havelse26481436:56-2020
    20Schweinfurt26322123:61-3811

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation