Result
2:1
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Mozzart Bet Super Liga - Round 27
- Referee: Milanovic M. (Srb)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 10, Arena Sport 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 2.04 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (327/417) | 77% (276/360) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 2.04 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (327/417) | 77% (276/360) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/63) | 30% (16/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (65/88) | 66% (70/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Dragojevic V. ⚽, Roganovic M. (A),
- 35', 2 - 0, Djurdjevic V. ⚽,
- 40', 2 - 1, Milosavic M. ⚽, Todoroski A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Milosavic M. ↓, Petrovic A. ↑,
- 59', Mezei S. ↓, Bosic R. ↑,
- 62', Kostic A. ↓, Polter S. ↑,
- 62', Kostic B. ↓, Trifunovic N. ↑,
- 71', Krstic V. 🟨,
- 76', Djurdjevic V. ↓, Milic S. ↑,
- 76', Zdjelar S. ↓, Ugresic O. ↑,
- 86', Todoroski A. ↓, Savic D. ↑,
- 86', Mladenovic S. ↓, Soprenic M. ↑,
- 87', Vukotic M. ↓, Zahid G. ↑,
- 90', Radin M. ↓, Petrovic B. ↑,
- 90+8', Urosevic S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Partizan
52.9% | Draw
24.4% | Bačka Topola
22.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Partizan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Partizan's form might have worsened.Bačka Topola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bačka Topola's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Partizan than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Partizan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bačka Topola than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bačka Topola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Partizan - Bačka Topola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.51) |
3.84 ↓
(4.03) |
4.04 ↓
(5.77) |
8.2%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Partizan - Bačka Topola?
Users Predictions:
Partizan will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Relegation Group: )).
- Partizan is Qualified for Mozzart Bet Super Liga (Championship Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Partizan is the team to beat.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Partizan won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Partizan won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Partizan won against Bačka Topola?
Partizan has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bačka Topola won against Partizan?
Bačka Topola has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Partizan - Bačka Topola were as follows:
18.10.2025
Bačka Topola
-
Partizan
0:1
11.05.2025
Partizan
-
Bačka Topola
1:2
02.04.2025
Partizan
-
Bačka Topola
0:1
29.03.2025
Partizan
-
Bačka Topola
0:0
03.11.2024
Bačka Topola
-
Partizan
1:2
Latest results of Partizan
Latest results of Bačka Topola
Serbian Superliga Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Crvena zvezda ✔ | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 96:26 | 70 | 82 |
| 2 | Partizan | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 64:43 | 21 | 65 |
| 3 | Vojvodina | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 56:33 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45:34 | 11 | 53 |
| 5 | Novi Pazar | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 41:46 | -5 | 48 |
| 6 | OFK Beograd Mozzart Bet | 33 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Radnik | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 42:38 | 4 | 44 |
| 8 | Cukaricki | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 46:47 | -1 | 43 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Crvena zvezda is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
