Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 7
- Referee: Dudic A. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1, Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (406/488) | 71% (236/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.97 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (406/488) | 71% (236/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 68% (34/50) | 27% (20/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (140/179) | 64% (37/58) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/30) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 5 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | -0.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Owusu T. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 53', 1 - 1, Schmid D. ⚽, Otele P. (A),
- 55', 1 - 2, Silva Ferreira L. M. ⚽,
- 56', Broschinski M. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
- 56', Agbonifo J. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
- 57', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
- 59', Dorn P. 🟨,
- 62', Ruegg K. ↓, Vouilloz N. ↑,
- 62', Shaqiri X. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
- 69', Abe T. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
- 69', Dorn P. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
- 74', Freimann B. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
- 87', Daniliuc F. ↓, Junior Ze ↑,
Chances of winning
Basel
53.8% | Draw
24.1% | Luzern
22.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Basel - Luzern Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.52) |
4.14 ↓
(4.82) |
4.43 ↓
(5.28) |
-2.1%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Basel - Luzern?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Basel is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Basel: Hitz M.
(Muscle Injury)
Traore B.
(Leg Injury)
van Breemen F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Luzern: Lofgren J.
(Hernia)
Zimmermann M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Basel: Koindredi K.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Basel won against Luzern?
Basel has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Basel?
Luzern has won 3 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basel - Luzern were as follows:
24.05.2025
Basel
-
Luzern
4:0
09.03.2025
Luzern
-
Basel
1:1
06.02.2025
Basel
-
Luzern
2:1
29.09.2024
Luzern
-
Basel
1:0
05.05.2024
Basel
-
Luzern
1:1
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 6 | 19 |
| 2 | Basel | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | St. Gallen | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Sion | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 15 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15:17 | -2 | 14 |
| 6 | Luzern | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:15 | 1 | 13 |
| 7 | Lugano | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Zurich | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Grasshoppers | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | Servette | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 10:28 | -18 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
