Result
1:0
22/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 23
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
União da Serra
55.7% | Draw
25.8% | Marinhense
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
União da Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União da Serra's performance.Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marinhense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
União da Serra - Marinhense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.85) |
3.49 ↑
(3.05) |
4.88 ↑
(3.55) |
10.8%
(15%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation).
- União da Serra has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Marinhense has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- União da Serra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- União da Serra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, União da Serra won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, União da Serra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has União da Serra won against Marinhense?
União da Serra has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against União da Serra?
Marinhense has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between União da Serra - Marinhense were as follows:
29.11.2025
Marinhense
-
União da Serra
1:1
19.02.2023
Marinhense
-
União da Serra
1:0
06.11.2022
União da Serra
-
Marinhense
1:2
Latest results of União da Serra
Latest results of Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache ✔ | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 32:10 | 22 | 52 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 41:20 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 34:23 | 11 | 44 |
| 4 | Oliveira Hospital | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 34:12 | 22 | 44 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | Mortagua | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 21:24 | -3 | 36 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 33:27 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Peniche | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 27 |
| 9 | Fatima | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:28 | -8 | 26 |
| 10 | Lajense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 31:33 | -2 | 26 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 24 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 21:32 | -11 | 23 |
| 13 | Electrico ✔ | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 32:57 | -25 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania ✔ | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vitoria Sernache is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Electrico is Relegated to
SC Lusitania is Relegated to
