SC Lusitânia vs União da Serra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 22

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
27
Shots on target
24
Corner kicks
46
Total shots
27
Shots on target
24
Shots off target
03
Corner kicks
46

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 25', 0 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


SC Lusitânia
18.7%
Draw
24.9%
União da Serra
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
23% 26.3% 50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.3% 25.4% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • União da Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União da Serra's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for União da Serra than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • SC Lusitânia - União da Serra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.84
    (3.95)
    3.63
    (3.45)
    1.61
    (1.79)
    10.5%
    (10.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for SC Lusitânia - União da Serra?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. União da Serra (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - União da Serra (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. União da Serra (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 5).
    • SC Lusitânia is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • União da Serra is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In this match, União da Serra is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, SC Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SC Lusitânia - União da Serra were as follows:
    09.11.2025 União da Serra - SC Lusitânia 2:0
    Latest results of SC Lusitânia
    Latest results of União da Serra
    Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vitoria Sernache26167333:122155
    2Oliveira Hospital26148439:132650
    3Naval 189326146636:231348
    4SB Castelo Branco26144843:261746
    5Uniao Da Serra26128638:271144
    6Mortagua26116923:26-339
    7Os Marialvas261061033:28536
    8Fatima26881027:29-232
    9Lajense26881037:37032
    10Peniche26861234:43-930
    11Samora Correia26851327:35-829
    12Marinhense26591220:38-1824
    13Electrico26541733:62-2919
    14SC Lusitania26451724:48-2417

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