Ingolstadt vs Duisburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
04/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 27
  • Referee: Weller F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
74
Corner kicks
52
Yellow cards
22
Total shots
116
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
52
Offsides
40
Free kicks
1413
Throw ins
2528
Fouls
914

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Hahn A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Hahn A. , Lobinger L. ,
  • 46', Antzoulas G. , Frode L. ,
  • 62', Scholz J. , Maljojoki J. ,
  • 65', Viet C. , Meuer S. ,
  • 65', Symalla J. , Jessen N. ,
  • 71', Kehrer E. , Sturm Y. ,
  • 73', Kruger F. , Kother D. ,
  • 74', Deichmann Y. 🟨,
  • 82', Deichmann Y. , Hoppe M. ,
  • 82', Kugel J. , Drakulic O. ,
  • 86', Sussek P. , Noss C. ,
  • 90+3', Braune M. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Costly M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Ingolstadt
38.3%
Draw
27.5%
Duisburg
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 26.1% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1% 25.7% 35.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • Duisburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Ingolstadt - Duisburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.42
    (2.44)
    3.36
    (3.5)
    2.71
    (2.51)
    8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Ingolstadt - Duisburg?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ingolstadt will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Duisburg will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 29.6%90.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ingolstadt (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Ingolstadt (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Duisburg (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ingolstadt (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Duisburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 4.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Duisburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Ingolstadt won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:17. (average 1.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ingolstadt won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:8. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ingolstadt - Duisburg were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Duisburg - Ingolstadt 2:1
    20.04.2024 Ingolstadt - Duisburg 2:0
    11.11.2023 Duisburg - Ingolstadt 1:2
    12.05.2023 Ingolstadt - Duisburg 2:0
    12.11.2022 Duisburg - Ingolstadt 0:1
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    Latest results of Duisburg
    01.03.2026 Duisburg - TSV Havelse 1:1
    21.02.2026 Duisburg - Schweinfurt 3:1
    14.02.2026 Wehen Wiesbaden - Duisburg 6:1
    08.02.2026 Duisburg - Verl 4:2
    01.02.2026 Ulm 1846 - Duisburg 1:0
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck ✔ 36237661:303176
    2Cottbus36199869:501966
    3Duisburg36199865:481766
    4RW Essen361810874:641064
    5Verl361710979:473261
    6Hansa Rostock361613765:432261
    7Alemannia Aachen361771267:561158
    8Munich 18603615111053:48556
    9Wehen361481451:50150
    10Viktoria Koln361551650:49150
    11Regensburg361471554:56-249
    12Mannheim361471557:67-1049
    13Stuttgart II361371651:60-946
    14Saarbrucken3610141246:50-444
    15Ingolstadt3611101558:54443
    16Hoffenheim II361171862:67-540
    17TSV Havelse ✔ 36882053:81-2832
    18Ulm ✔ 36952246:74-2832
    19Aue ✔ 366121847:68-2130
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 36562534:80-4621

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
    TSV Havelse is Relegated to
    Ulm is Relegated to
    Aue is Relegated to
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to