Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Weserstadion (Bremen).

Bundesliga - Round 33
Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Match 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, RCTI+
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	Sport 3
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport+
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 4
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 4, SportKlub 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
South-america	ESPN 2 South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 4, PPTV Sports
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	1.54
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
21	16
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
6	1
Corner Kicks
11	4
Passes
84% (430/512)	83% (364/438)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85	1.54
xG on target (xGOT)
1.02	2.38
Total shots
21	16
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
10	6
Shots inside the Box
19	9
Shots outside the Box
2	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
6	1
Corner Kicks
11	4
Touches in opposition box
46	28
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
13	6
Passes
84% (430/512)	83% (364/438)
Long passes
57% (37/65)	45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
70% (98/141)	65% (74/113)
Crosses
29% (8/28)	0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
3.33	1.32
Throw-ins
21	13
Fouls
6	13
Tackles
67% (8/12)	70% (7/10)
Duels won
43	35
Clearances
17	40
Interceptions
11	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	6
xGOT faced
2.38	1.02
Goals prevented
2.38	1.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Klostermann L. 🟨,
13', Friedl M. 🟨,
33', Vermeeren A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', Sesko B. ↓, Nusa A. ↑,
69', Openda L. ↓, Poulsen Y. ↑,
77', Nedeljkovic K. 🟨,
79', Agu F. ↓, Kohn D. ↑,
79', Burke O. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
80', Baumgartner C. ↓, Baku R. ↑,
85', Lynen S. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
87', Vermeeren A. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
88', Weiser M. ↓, Njinmah J. ↑,

Chances of winning

Werder Bremen
44.5%

Draw
25%

RB Leipzig
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

25.7%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

26.2%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Werder Bremen's performance.

RB Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Werder Bremen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RB Leipzig than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that RB Leipzig could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.47)	3.83 ↑ (3.75)	3.14 ↑ (2.72)	3.8% (3.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig?

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 12 - 48%). RB Leipzig will win (votes: 9 - 36%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 28.4% – 67.6%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 0.
Werder is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, RB Leipzig has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Werder: Veljkovic M. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in RB Leipzig: Haidara A. (Knee Injury) Henrichs B. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kampl K. (Yellow Cards) Raum D. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Werder: Njinmah J. (Ankle Injury)
There are questionable in RB Leipzig: Orban W. (Muscle Injury) Ouedraogo A. (Knee Injury) Schlager X. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Werder won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 21:36. (average 1.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against RB Leipzig?

Werder Bremen has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has RB Leipzig won against Werder Bremen?

RB Leipzig has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig were as follows:

12.01.2025 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 4:2

11.05.2024 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 1:1

19.12.2023 Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig 1:1

14.05.2023 RB Leipzig - Werder Bremen 2:1

12.11.2022 Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig 1:2

Latest results of Werder Bremen

03.05.2025 Union Berlin - Werder Bremen 2:2 ✺

27.04.2025 Werder Bremen - St. Pauli 0:0 ✺

19.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Bochum 1:0 ✺

13.04.2025 Stuttgart - Werder Bremen 1:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Werder Bremen - Eintracht Frankfurt 2:0 ✺

Latest results of RB Leipzig

03.05.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 3:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - RB Leipzig 4:0 ✺

19.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺

11.04.2025 Wolfsburg - RB Leipzig 2:3 ✺

05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	9:2	7	6
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	7:2	5	6
3	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	5:1	4	6
4	Dortmund	2	1	1	0	6:3	3	4
5	St. Pauli	2	1	1	0	5:3	2	4
6	Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	4:2	2	4
7	Augsburg	2	1	0	1	5:4	1	3
8	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3
9	Hoffenheim	2	1	0	1	3:4	-1	3
10	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	2:4	-2	3
11	RB Leipzig	2	1	0	1	2:6	-4	3
12	Bayer Leverkusen	2	0	1	1	4:5	-1	1
13	Mainz	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1
14	B. Monchengladbach	2	0	1	1	0:1	-1	1
15	Hamburger SV	2	0	1	1	0:2	-2	1
16	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	4:7	-3	1
17	Heidenheim	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0
18	Freiburg	2	0	0	2	2:7	-5	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga