Boavista vs Porto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
1:2
11/05/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 33
  • Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaRTP Africa, RTP Africa, RTP Africa, ZAP
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaRing, Voyo
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
italyItalyDAZN Italia
kazakhstanKazakhstanSport+
lithuaniaLithuaniaSport 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalRTPi, RTP International, Sport TV1
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaTV Start
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid VIP
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2, SportKlub 1
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTriller TV+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.27
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
916
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
04
Passes
80% (297/372)85% (461/543)
Yellow Cards
42
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.751.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.41
Total shots
916
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
04
Touches in opposition box
1932
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
111
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
80% (297/372)85% (461/543)
Long passes
59% (29/49)53% (30/57)
Passes in final third
61% (49/80)69% (92/134)
Crosses
6% (1/16)25% (3/12)
Expected assists (xA)
0.570.68
Throw-ins
1814
Fouls
1319
Tackles
57% (8/14)88% (7/8)
Duels won
4643
Clearances
2226
Interceptions
1112
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.411.57
Goals prevented
-0.590.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', Kakay O. 🟨,
  • 9', Perez N. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Mora R. ⚽, Moura F. (A),
  • 25', 0 - 2, Marcano I. ⚽, Perez N. (A),
  • 34', 1 - 2, Reisinho M. (Pen),
  • 45+7', Anselmi M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 67', Mora R. ↓, Pepê ↑,
  • 79', Joao Mario ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
  • 79', Eustaquio S. ↓, Perez T. ↑,
  • 79', Agra S. ↓, Ariyibi G. ↑,
  • 81', Perez N. 🟨,
  • 84', Samu ↓, Otavio ↑,
  • 84', Vieira F. ↓, Danny Namaso ↑,
  • 86', Ferreira F. ↓, van Ginkel M. ↑,
  • 90+1', Reisinho M. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Fogning S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Kakay O. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Boavista
12.8%		Draw
19.6%		Porto
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
10.3% 18.1% 71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10% 17.6% 73.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Porto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Boavista - Porto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 7.37 ↓
    (9.25)    		 4.86 ↓
    (5.25)    		 1.4 ↑
    (1.33)    		 5.7%
    (5.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Boavista - Porto?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 5 - 18.5%). Porto will win (votes: 21 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 62.1% – 93.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Boavista (votes: 4 - 40%). Porto (votes: 6 - 60%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • DNB - Boavista (5.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH +1 - Porto (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Porto (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +2 - Porto (3.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 - Porto (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1 - Boavista (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.25 - Boavista (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Boavista (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Porto (votes: 10 - 58.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boavista won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Porto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Porto is the obvious favorite.
    • There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Kurzawa L. (Inactive) Llorente D. (Inactive) Machado T. (Inactive) Ribeiro M. (Knee Injury) Vukotic I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Porto: Costa D. (Buttock Injury) Grujic M. (Heel Injury) Sousa V. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Boavista: Silva T. (Injury)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Boavista won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.8:2.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boavista won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boavista - Porto were as follows:
    28.12.2024 Porto - Boavista 4:0
    12.05.2024 Porto - Boavista 2:1
    05.01.2024 Boavista - Porto 1:1
    12.11.2022 Boavista - Porto 1:4
    Latest results of Boavista
    05.05.2025 AVS - Boavista 1:2 ✺
    27.04.2025 Boavista - Sporting Lisbon 0:5 ✺
    18.04.2025 Farense - Boavista 0:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Boavista - Nacional 0:1 ✺
    07.04.2025 Rio Ave - Boavista 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Porto
    02.05.2025 Porto - Moreirense 3:1 ✺
    26.04.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Porto 2:0 ✺
    18.04.2025 Porto - Famalicão 2:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Casa Pia - Porto 0:1 ✺
    06.04.2025 Porto - Benfica 1:4 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto ✔ 32274164:154985
    2Benfica322210069:224776
    3Sporting CP32237282:235976
    4Braga32169760:322857
    5Famalicao321410841:291252
    6Gil Vicente321311846:321450
    7Vitoria Guimaraes321261439:48-942
    8Moreirense321261437:47-1042
    9Estoril321081452:53-138
    10Alverca321081434:50-1638
    11Arouca321061641:62-2136
    12Rio Ave328111333:52-1935
    13Santa Clara32891530:40-1033
    14Nacional32871735:43-831
    15Estrela326101636:54-1828
    16Casa Pia325111629:56-2726
    17Tondela325101724:52-2825
    18AFS ✔ 322111924:66-4217

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Liga Portugal (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
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