Result
2:2
04/04/2026 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 6 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hungary | Selekt, Sport 1 |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Kazakhstan | Sport+ |
 Kuwait | KTV Sport |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3 |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 Usa | Fubo Latino |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/420) | 81% (332/409) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (353/420) | 81% (332/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (13/28) | 42% (16/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (81/119) | 70% (54/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/17) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.75 | 0.88 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | -0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', Zaidu 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Costa A. ⚽, Moffi T. (A),
- 44', Mora R. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
- 45+2', Van de Looi T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Pietuszewski O. ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 46', Zaidu ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 54', 1 - 1, Sorriso ⚽,
- 56', 🟨,
- 57', William Gomes 🟨,
- 61', Moffi T. ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 61', De Amorim M. ↓, Pena M. ↑,
- 69', Bednarek J. 🟨,
- 70', Varela A. 🟨,
- 74', Pepê ↓, Sainz B. ↑,
- 79', Sa G. ↓, Santos P. ↑,
- 90+1', Sorriso ↓, Beney R. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Fofana S. ⚽, Fernandes M. (A),
- 90+5', Rafa Soares 🟨,
- 90+6', De Haas J. 🟨,
- 90+6', Costa A. 🟨,
- 90+9', 2 - 2, Pinheiro R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Porto
67.3% | Draw
21% | Famalicão
11.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Famalicão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porto than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Famalicão than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Porto - Famalicão Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41
(1.41) |
4.54 ↑
(4.4) |
8.17 ↑
(7.78) |
5.2%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Porto - Famalicão?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 26 - 89.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 78.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Porto (1.67) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 6).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3.
- Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
- In this match, Porto is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Mora R.
(Thigh Injury)
Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Samu
(Knee Injury)
Veiga G.
(Yellow Cards)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Famalicão: Aranda O.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Famalicão: Rochinha
(Inactive)
- We predict that Porto will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Porto won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:19. (average 2.5:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 24:10. (average 3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Famalicão?
Porto has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Famalicão won against Porto?
Famalicão has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Famalicão were as follows:
18.12.2025
Porto
-
Famalicão
4:1
09.11.2025
Famalicão
-
Porto
0:1
18.04.2025
Porto
-
Famalicão
2:1
07.12.2024
Famalicão
-
Porto
1:1
13.04.2024
Porto
-
Famalicão
2:2
Latest results of Famalicão
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 31 | 22 | 7 | 2 | 77:22 | 55 | 73 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 38:43 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
