Result
3:1
15/12/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 14
- Referee: Fonseca M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6 |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 1 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 1 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.18 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (480/554) | 75% (221/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.58 | 0.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 3 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (480/554) | 75% (221/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (22/39) | 36% (16/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (94/137) | 45% (19/42) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 60% (3/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (18/24) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.75 | 3.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.25 | 0.58 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Samu (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', Bernardo Schappo 🟨,
- 53', Bednarek J. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Marcus A. ⚽, Cabral S. (A),
- 61', Kikas ↓, Jovane ↑,
- 61', Stoica I. ↓, Encada J. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 1, Moura F. ⚽,
- 65', Varela A. ↓, Rosario P. ↑,
- 65', Pepê ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 65', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
- 65', Marcus A. 🟨,
- 73', 3 - 1, Samu ⚽,
- 75', Costa A. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 76', Mora R. ↓, Veiga G. ↑,
- 76', Moreira P. ↓, Gastao J. ↑,
- 76', Marcus A. ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 82', Samu ↓, Gul D. ↑,
- 84', Cabral S. ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
- 86', Jovane 🟨,
- 90+1', Otavio 🟨,
Chances of winning
Porto
81.4% | Draw
12.8% | Estrela da Amadora
5.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Porto - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16 ↓
(1.18) |
7.37 ↑
(7.04) |
16.47 ↑
(14.75) |
6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Porto - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Porto will win (votes: 29 - 85.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 2.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 73.4% – 97.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 6 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Porto (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH +1 - Porto (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Porto (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Porto (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Porto (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Porto (1.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.75 - Porto (2.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Porto (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -3 - Estrela (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Porto (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Porto will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 24 - 85.7%). Estrela (votes: 1 - 3.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 12).
- Porto is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Estrela has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Estrela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Porto has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Estrela: Montoia G.
(Inactive)
Ni
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Porto: Veiga G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Porto won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Porto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Estrela da Amadora?
Porto has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Porto?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Porto - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
26.04.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
Porto
2:0
16.12.2024
Porto
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:0
17.02.2024
Porto
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:0
15.09.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Porto
0:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 59:14 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 73:17 | 56 | 71 |
| 3 | Benfica | 29 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 61:18 | 43 | 69 |
| 4 | Braga | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:27 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Estoril | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 | Alverca | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Arouca | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 37:58 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:52 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21:46 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 | AFS | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 19:62 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
