Result
1:2
26/04/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 31
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bulgaria | Ring |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Uruguay | Antel TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/348) | 82% (328/401) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (267/348) | 82% (328/401) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (21/64) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (38/66) | 60% (72/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.47 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', Jansson K. 🟨,
- 17', 0 - 1, Gul D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 24', Gul D. 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 2, Gul D. ⚽, Costa A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jansson K. ↓, Encada J. ↑,
- 46', Scholze M. ↓, Jovane ↑,
- 46', Doue G. ↓, Moreira P. ↑,
- 61', Pepê ↓, William Gomes ↑,
- 61', Gul D. ↓, Moffi T. ↑,
- 70', Costa A. ↓, Fernandes M. ↑,
- 70', Veiga G. ↓, Mora R. ↑,
- 72', Rodrigo Pinho ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
- 73', Stoica I. ↓, Alisson Souza ↑,
- 79', 1 - 2, Jovane ⚽, van Hooijdonk S. (A),
- 82', Moffi T. 🟨,
- 84', Kiwior J. ↓, Fofana S. ↑,
- 86', Lekovic S. 🟨,
- 89', van Hooijdonk S. 🟨,
- 90+4', Costa D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
9.3% | Draw
18% | Porto
72.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Porto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Estrela da Amadora - Porto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
10.3 ↓
(10.9) |
5.28 ↓
(5.33) |
1.31 ↓
(1.33) |
5.2%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Porto?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Porto will win (votes: 16 - 94.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Porto: 82.9% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +1.5 - Porto (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Porto (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Estrela is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Porto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Estrela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Porto is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Porto: Perez N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Samu
(Knee Injury)
Zaidu
(Injury)
de Jong L.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Bernardo Schappo
(Injury)
Drame I.
(Injury)
Gbomadu M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Porto: Fernandes M.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Porto?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Porto won against Estrela da Amadora?
Porto has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Porto were as follows:
15.12.2025
Porto
-
Estrela da Amadora
3:1
26.04.2025
Estrela da Amadora
-
Porto
2:0
16.12.2024
Porto
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:0
17.02.2024
Porto
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:0
15.09.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Porto
0:1
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto ✔ | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 64:15 | 49 | 85 |
| 2 | Benfica | 32 | 22 | 10 | 0 | 69:22 | 47 | 76 |
| 3 | Sporting CP | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 82:23 | 59 | 76 |
| 4 | Braga | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 57 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 46:32 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 42 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 37:47 | -10 | 42 |
| 9 | Estoril | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 52:53 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 | Alverca | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 34:50 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Arouca | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 41:62 | -21 | 36 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 33:52 | -19 | 35 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 30:40 | -10 | 33 |
| 14 | Nacional | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Estrela | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 36:54 | -18 | 28 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 29:56 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Tondela | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24:52 | -28 | 25 |
| 18 | AFS ✔ | 32 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 24:66 | -42 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
FC Porto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
AFS is Relegated to Liga Portugal 2
