Result
1:2
12/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 22
- Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.98 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (420/492) | 80% (255/319) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.98 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.95 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 28 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 20 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (420/492) | 80% (255/319) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (34/60) | 52% (34/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (152/194) | 57% (40/70) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.06 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 73% (16/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 10 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 2.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 1.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', 0 - 1, van Duijl B. (Own goal),
- 42', Budko B. 🟨,
- 43', Atikallah R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Atikallah R. ↓, Menu M. ↑,
- 48', van der Lans M. 🟨,
- 54', Schipper J. 🟨,
- 55', 0 - 2, O'Niel D. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Budko B. ↓, Simons S. ↑,
- 62', Oufkir A. ↓, Hartog J. ↑,
- 62', Sin M. ↓, Oerip J. ↑,
- 65', van der Lans M. ↓, Johnson J. ↑,
- 71', Nash P. ↓, Wolff K. ↑,
- 71', Chourak N. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
- 71', Appiah A. ↓, Alders G. ↑,
- 76', Bouziane W. ↓, Toppenberg K. ↑,
- 84', Ouazane A. ↓, Abdella M. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Robbemond R. ⚽, Simons S. (A),
- 90+5', Alders G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jong AZ Alkmaar
55.4% | Draw
22.1% | Jong Ajax
22.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.64) |
4.18 ↓
(4.37) |
4.1 ↓
(4.28) |
7.5%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Jong AZ will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Jong Ajax will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong AZ: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 1 - 50%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH -0.75 - Jong AZ (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Jong AZ (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 4.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- In this match, Jong AZ is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Jong AZ: Kasius D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Regeer Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong AZ won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 2:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong AZ won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:11. (average 2.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong AZ Alkmaar won against Jong Ajax?
Jong AZ Alkmaar has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Jong AZ Alkmaar?
Jong Ajax has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong AZ Alkmaar - Jong Ajax were as follows:
18.08.2025
Jong Ajax
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
4:1
13.01.2025
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Jong Ajax
2:1
17.09.2024
Jong Ajax
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:2
10.05.2024
Jong Ajax
-
Jong AZ Alkmaar
1:4
18.09.2023
Jong AZ Alkmaar
-
Jong Ajax
5:2
Latest results of Jong AZ Alkmaar
Latest results of Jong Ajax
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 59:29 | 30 | 53 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 50 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 51:46 | 5 | 40 |
| 4 | Almere City | 25 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 53:41 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Roda | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 43:37 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | De Graafschap | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:40 | 5 | 39 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 42:38 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Willem II | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 32:33 | -1 | 36 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35:35 | 0 | 34 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 45:46 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Jong Utrecht | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 44:46 | -2 | 32 |
| 12 | Venlo | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 34:39 | -5 | 32 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 35:44 | -9 | 31 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 40:44 | -4 | 29 |
| 15 | Maastricht | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 30:49 | -19 | 27 |
| 16 | Oss | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 32:40 | -8 | 26 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 43:51 | -8 | 26 |
| 18 | Helmond | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 31:45 | -14 | 26 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:39 | -2 | 20 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 33:46 | -13 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
