Result
2:2
19/03/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP I - ROUND 28
Chances of winning
Castrovillari 45.8% | Draw 28.8% | Paternò 25.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Paternò has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paternò than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Castrovillari - Paternò Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.95 ↑ (1.9) |
3.1 ↑ (3.08) |
3.53 ↑ (3.45) |
11.9% (14.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out)).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Castrovillari will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 4 head-to-head matches Castrovillari won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Castrovillari won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castrovillari won against Paternò?
Castrovillari has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paternò won against Castrovillari?
Paternò has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castrovillari - Paternò were as follows:
13.11.2022
Paternò
-
Castrovillari
1:3
Latest results of Castrovillari
Latest results of Paternò
Italian Serie D - Group I Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Savoia | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 54:28 | 26 | 60 |
| 2 | Nissa | 31 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 43:25 | 18 | 60 |
| 3 | Reggina | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 34:19 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 53:41 | 12 | 54 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 51 |
| 6 | Igea Virtus | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:27 | 18 | 49 |
| 7 | Sambiase | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30:32 | -2 | 43 |
| 9 | Gela | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 10 | Vigor Lamezia | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 37:32 | 5 | 36 |
| 11 | Enna | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 47:45 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | USD Ragusa | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 22:32 | -10 | 32 |
| 13 | AS Acireale | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:47 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Castrumfavara | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Vibonese | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 27:41 | -14 | 31 |
| 16 | ACR Messina | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 25:31 | -6 | 27 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:45 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Paterno | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20:63 | -43 | 19 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )
Relegation