Tivoli Gardens vs Dunbeholden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
19/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 35

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
44
Corner kicks
42
Total shots
911
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
57
Corner kicks
42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 80', 1 - 0, ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Tivoli Gardens
45.7%
Draw
29.2%
Dunbeholden
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 26.8% 25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1% 28.4% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Dunbeholden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tivoli Gardens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunbeholden than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.98
    (1.91)
    3.1
    (3.43)
    3.6
    (3.67)
    10.6%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 3.
    • Recent performances by Tivoli Gardens have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Dunbeholden is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Dunbeholden may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Dunbeholden has had a series of away games.
    • Tivoli Gardens is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Tivoli Gardens won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tivoli Gardens won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden were as follows:
    08.03.2026 Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden 2:1
    21.12.2025 Dunbeholden - Tivoli Gardens 1:0
    19.03.2025 Dunbeholden - Tivoli Gardens 2:4
    19.01.2025 Tivoli Gardens - Dunbeholden 2:0
    21.11.2024 Dunbeholden - Tivoli Gardens 2:1
    Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
    Latest results of Dunbeholden
    Jamaica National Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montego Bay ✔ 37218878:413771
    2Mount Pleasant371814562:243868
    3Portmore371614750:341662
    4Waterhouse ✔ 371781244:321259
    5Racing United371317748:331556
    6Cavalier371741653:401355
    7Arnett Gardens371571555:441152
    8Chapelton371471640:47-749
    9Dunbeholden371391540:44-448
    10Tivoli3711111537:53-1644
    11Treasure Beach379131541:57-1640
    12Molynes378151443:46-339
    13Harbour View378121751:71-2036
    14Spanish Town Police ✔ 37752525:101-7626

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Montego Bay is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Waterhouse is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Spanish Town Police is Relegated to