Result
04/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Ethiopia Bunna
33.5% | Draw
34.3% | Bahir Dar Kenema
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Ethiopia Bunna - Bahir Dar Kenema Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↑
(2.65) |
2.63 ↓
(2.9) |
2.8 ↑
(2.75) |
10.8%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Ethiopia Bunna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Bunna won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Bunna won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ethiopia Bunna won against Bahir Dar Kenema?
Ethiopia Bunna has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bahir Dar Kenema won against Ethiopia Bunna?
Bahir Dar Kenema has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ethiopia Bunna - Bahir Dar Kenema were as follows:
28.10.2025
Bahir Dar Kenema
-
Ethiopia Bunna
0:0
10.04.2025
Bahir Dar Kenema
-
Ethiopia Bunna
2:0
29.01.2025
Ethiopia Bunna
-
Bahir Dar Kenema
3:1
14.03.2024
Bahir Dar Kenema
-
Ethiopia Bunna
3:1
22.10.2023
Ethiopia Bunna
-
Bahir Dar Kenema
2:2
Latest results of Ethiopia Bunna
Latest results of Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sidama Bunna | 21 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 26:11 | 15 | 39 |
| 2 | Negele Arsi Ketema | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 22:14 | 8 | 37 |
| 3 | Hawassa | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 24:13 | 11 | 36 |
| 4 | Mechal | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 29:19 | 10 | 34 |
| 5 | Fasil Kenema | 21 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 33 |
| 6 | Adama City | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 32 |
| 7 | Ethio Electric | 21 | 6 | 10 | 5 | 11:11 | 0 | 28 |
| 8 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 21 | 5 | 12 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 27 |
| 9 | Hadiya Hossana | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 18:21 | -3 | 27 |
| 10 | Shire Endaselassie | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 15:15 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Ethiopia Bunna | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 26 |
| 12 | St. George | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | -1 | 25 |
| 13 | Dire Dawa | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 14:21 | -7 | 25 |
| 14 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 26:29 | -3 | 24 |
| 15 | Ethiopian Insurance | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 15:16 | -1 | 23 |
| 16 | Sheger Ketema | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 17:20 | -3 | 23 |
| 17 | Welayta Dicha | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 22:24 | -2 | 22 |
| 18 | Mekelle 70 Enderta | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 22 |
| 19 | Welwalo Adigrat | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 20 | Arba Menche | 21 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 13:23 | -10 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation
