Result
0:1
19/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 6
- Referee: Abed K. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 29% | 71% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (146/226) | 87% (493/567) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.32 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.11 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (146/226) | 87% (493/567) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (24/66) | 61% (39/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (53/97) | 75% (131/174) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (4/11) | 15% (4/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (7/12) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.11 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Basilio E. 🟥,
- 19', Bokangu B. ↓, Kenzo N. ↑,
- 26', Khaoui S. E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bamba R. ↓, Sidibe O. ↑,
- 46', Bouabdelli W. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
- 54', Sylla D. 🟨,
- 62', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
- 62', Sylla D. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
- 71', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
- 74', Bouriaud T. 🟨,
- 76', Bouriaud T. ↓, Suljic C. ↑,
- 77', Suljic C. 🟨,
- 80', 0 - 1, Ikanga J. ⚽,
- 86', Durand D. ↓, Danger B. ↑,
- 90+3', Ikanga J. ↓, Kayi Sanda J. ↑,
- 90+7', Poussin G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nancy
17.8% | Draw
29.4% | Red Star
52.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nancy's form might have worsened.Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Star's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+23.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nancy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-22.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Star, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nancy - Red Star Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
9.32 ↑
(2.37) |
5.2 ↑
(3.3) |
2.58 ↓
(3.1) |
-31.2%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nancy - Red Star?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Red Star will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0.
- Recent performances by Nancy have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Red Star is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Nancy: Camara B.
(Inactive)
Dabasse A.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Red Star: Danger B.
(Inactive)
Doucoure R.
(Knee Injury)
Eickmayer J.
(Inactive)
Escartin J.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Red Star?
Nancy has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Star won against Nancy?
Red Star has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Red Star were as follows:
22.03.2024
Red Star
-
Nancy
1:1
11.10.2023
Nancy
-
Red Star
1:1
17.04.2023
Nancy
-
Red Star
1:4
25.11.2022
Red Star
-
Nancy
1:0
Latest results of Red Star
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Red Star | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Reims | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Rodez | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 16 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Grenoble | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
