Port Vale vs Plymouth Argyle – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
22/11/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 17
  • Referee: Byrne A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.48
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
135
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
67% (246/365)57% (164/288)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.48
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.42
Total shots
135
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
71
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
83
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2611
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
157
Passes
67% (246/365)57% (164/288)
Long passes
30% (20/67)17% (14/81)
Passes in final third
53% (69/129)44% (42/96)
Crosses
37% (11/30)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.790.37
Throw-ins
3723
Fouls
715
Tackles
62% (8/13)55% (16/29)
Duels won
7469
Clearances
1952
Interceptions
810
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
xGOT faced
0.420.80
Goals prevented
-0.580.80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', 0 - 1, Tolaj L. , Sorinola M. (A),
  • 59', Heneghan B. , Stockley J. ,
  • 65', McCabe L. 🟨,
  • 68', Dale O. , Ralls J. ,
  • 69', Galloway B. , Benarous A. ,
  • 69', Headley J. , Curtis R. ,
  • 70', Walters R. , Ojo F. ,
  • 74', Kyle John 🟨,
  • 79', Sorinola M. , Edwards J. ,
  • 80', Tolaj L. 🟨,
  • 89', Benarous A. , Paterson J. ,
  • 90+2', Hall C. , Brown D. ,
  • 90+8', Edwards J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Port Vale
46.3%
Draw
27.4%
Plymouth Argyle
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.2% 26.6% 25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 23.4% 28.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Port Vale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Plymouth Argyle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Plymouth Argyle than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.94)
    3.45
    (3.51)
    3.59
    (3.72)
    6.4%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Port Vale will win (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Plymouth will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Port Vale: 42%87.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Port Vale will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 3.
    • Port Vale has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Plymouth has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Port Vale may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Port Vale has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Plymouth has had a series of away games.
    • Port Vale might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Port Vale: Clark M. (Neck Injury) Gordon L. (Injury) Lawrence-Gabriel J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Plymouth: Amaechi X. (Hamstring Injury) Benarous A. (Inactive) MacKenzie J. (Shin Injury) Pleguezuelo J. (Knee Injury) Watts C. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Plymouth: Edwards J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Port Vale won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Port Vale won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle were as follows:
    07.05.2023 Port Vale - Plymouth Argyle 1:3
    02.12.2022 Plymouth Argyle - Port Vale 0:2
    Latest results of Port Vale
    Latest results of Plymouth Argyle
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bolton431916864:451973
    4Bradford City422181352:46671
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4219101344:43167
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4114131463:65-255
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Port Vale408112130:54-2435
    24Northampton41982434:60-2635

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship