Result
1:0
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 21
- Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (186/279) | 73% (286/391) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (186/279) | 73% (286/391) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (33/84) | 39% (19/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (49/84) | 57% (69/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 26% (9/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 42 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (13/22) | 67% (10/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 74 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 59 | 45 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Forster H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', Davies H. 🟨,
- 53', 1 - 0, Palmer O. (Penalty Awarded),
- 62', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
- 63', Bajrami G. ↓, Tshimanga K. ↑,
- 64', Mabete F. ↓, Tafazolli R. ↑,
- 64', Oldaker D. ↓, McGregor J. ↑,
- 79', Nichols T. ↓, Wright W. ↑,
- 82', Williams J. 🟨,
- 84', Roles J. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
- 84', Brown R. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
- 85', Snowdon J. ↓, Tabor J. ↑,
- 90+8', Palmer O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Swindon Town
55.8% | Draw
22.9% | Crawley Town
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Swindon Town - Crawley Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.66) |
4.1 ↑
(3.96) |
4.37 ↓
(4.38) |
6.8%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Crawley Town?
Users Predictions:
Swindon Town will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 21).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 2.
- Swindon is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Crawley is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Crawley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Swindon is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D.
(Inactive)
Drinan A.
(Red Card)
Minturn H.
(Groin Injury)
Smith H.
(Knee Injury)
Wilson-Brown T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Swindon: Delaney R.
(Inactive)
Tafazolli R.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Crawley: Anderson M.
(Thigh Injury)
Cashman D.
(Inactive)
Malone S.
(Injury)
- We predict that Swindon will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Swindon won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:26. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Swindon won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Crawley Town?
Swindon Town has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Swindon Town?
Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Crawley Town were as follows:
13.08.2024
Crawley Town
-
Swindon Town
4:2
01.01.2024
Crawley Town
-
Swindon Town
3:1
26.08.2023
Swindon Town
-
Crawley Town
6:0
08.05.2023
Swindon Town
-
Crawley Town
2:1
03.12.2022
Crawley Town
-
Swindon Town
2:0
Latest results of Swindon Town
Latest results of Crawley Town
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 40:26 | 14 | 45 |
| 2 | Swindon | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 3 | Walsall | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 32:21 | 11 | 43 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 44:25 | 19 | 40 |
| 5 | Salford | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 6 | Notts Co | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 39 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 8 | Cambridge Utd | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 38 |
| 9 | Fleetwood | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:29 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Colchester | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 37:28 | 9 | 33 |
| 11 | Gillingham | 23 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 31:26 | 5 | 32 |
| 12 | Barnet | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 30:25 | 5 | 32 |
| 13 | Crewe | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 32 |
| 14 | Oldham | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 23:18 | 5 | 31 |
| 15 | Grimsby | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 31 |
| 16 | Accrington | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 26:26 | 0 | 30 |
| 17 | Tranmere | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 37:37 | 0 | 29 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 21:37 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Barrow | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:33 | -8 | 24 |
| 20 | Crawley | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 27:40 | -13 | 19 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21:38 | -17 | 19 |
| 22 | Bristol Rovers | 23 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 18:44 | -26 | 18 |
| 23 | Newport | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 17 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18:37 | -19 | 17 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
