Crawley Town vs Swindon Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley).

League Two - Round 36
Referee: Mather S. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.03	2.76
Ball possession
57%	43%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
8	6
Big chances
0	7
Corner kicks
10	4
Passes
67% (237/355)	60% (167/279)
Yellow cards
1	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.03	2.76
xG on target (xGOT)
1.20	1.61
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
8	6
Shots off target
4	3
Blocked shots
6	1
Shots inside the box
10	9
Shots outside the box
8	0
Hit the woodwork
1	1
Big chances
0	7
Corner kicks
10	4
Touches in opposition box
32	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
10	12
Passes
67% (237/355)	60% (167/279)
Long passes
33% (31/93)	35% (26/75)
Passes in final third
53% (73/139)	44% (28/64)
Crosses
24% (8/33)	42% (5/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.19	0.44
Throw ins
31	27
Fouls
12	10
Tackles
75% (9/12)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
48	64
Clearances
25	51
Interceptions
8	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	5
xGOT faced
1.61	1.20
Goals prevented
-0.39	-0.80

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Snowdon J. ↓, Holman F. ↑,
45', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Clarke O. ↓, Mabete F. ↑,
48', 1 - 0, Lolos K. ⚽, Orsi-Dadomo D. (A),
57', Palmer O. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
66', 1 - 1, Drinan A. (Penalty Awarded),
69', McGregor J. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
69', Borland A. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
78', Malone S. ↓, Odimayo A. ↑,
82', Russell J. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Bodin B. ⚽,
90+3', Lolos K. 🟨,
90+6', Lolos K. ↓, Adeyemo T. ↑,
90+8', 2 - 2, Gordon K. ⚽, Forster H. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Crawley Town
29%

Draw
25.8%

Swindon Town
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.2%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

25.3%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Crawley Town - Swindon Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.95)	3.63 ↑ (3.52)	2.07 ↓ (2.18)	7% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Crawley Town - Swindon Town?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Swindon will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 2.
Crawley is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Swindon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Swindon might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Crawley: Anderson M. (Injury) Cashman D. (Inactive) Vassell T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Swindon: Butterworth D. (Inactive) Glatzel P. (Inactive) Minturn H. (Groin Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury) Tafazolli R. (Injury) Wilson-Brown T. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Crawley: Loft R. (Injury) Malone S. (Injury) Richards L. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Swindon: Ball J. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crawley won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Crawley won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 1.7:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Crawley Town won against Swindon Town?

Crawley Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Crawley Town?

Swindon Town has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Crawley Town - Swindon Town were as follows:

20.12.2025 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 1:0

13.08.2024 Crawley Town - Swindon Town 4:2

01.01.2024 Crawley Town - Swindon Town 3:1

26.08.2023 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 6:0

08.05.2023 Swindon Town - Crawley Town 2:1

Latest results of Crawley Town

28.02.2026 Oldham Athletic - Crawley Town 2:0 ✺

21.02.2026 Crawley Town - Chesterfield 1:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Milton Keynes Dons - Crawley Town 0:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Tranmere Rovers - Crawley Town 2:0 ✺

10.02.2026 Crawley Town - Cambridge United 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Swindon Town

28.02.2026 Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra 1:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Barnet - Swindon Town 1:2 ✺

14.02.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town 3:1 ✺

11.02.2026 Swindon Town - Newport County 2:0 ✺

English League Two Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley ✔	46	24	15	7	71:46	25	87
2	MK Dons ✔	46	24	14	8	86:45	41	86
3	Cambridge Utd	46	22	16	8	66:33	33	82
4	Salford	46	25	6	15	61:51	10	81
5	Notts Co	46	24	8	14	74:52	22	80
6	Chesterfield	46	21	16	9	71:56	15	79
7	Grimsby	46	22	12	12	74:50	24	78
8	Barnet	46	21	13	12	70:53	17	76
9	Swindon	46	22	9	15	70:59	11	75
10	Oldham	46	18	14	14	60:44	16	68
11	Crewe	46	19	10	17	64:58	6	67
12	Colchester	46	18	12	16	62:49	13	66
13	Walsall	46	18	11	17	56:56	0	65
14	Bristol Rovers	46	19	5	22	56:65	-9	62
15	Fleetwood	46	15	16	15	57:58	-1	61
16	Accrington	46	14	11	21	47:58	-11	53
17	Gillingham	46	13	14	19	53:72	-19	53
18	Cheltenham	46	14	10	22	53:79	-26	52
19	Shrewsbury	46	13	10	23	42:69	-27	49
20	Newport	46	12	7	27	48:77	-29	43
21	Tranmere	46	10	11	25	54:79	-25	41
22	Crawley	46	8	16	22	44:68	-24	40
23	Harrogate	46	10	9	27	39:68	-29	39
24	Barrow	46	9	9	28	45:78	-33	36

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Clinched Spots for Teams

Bromley is Qualified for League One
MK Dons is Qualified for League One