Result
1:1
15/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 5
- Referee: Metoglu M. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (494/556) | 73% (191/260) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (494/556) | 73% (191/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (43/66) | 48% (32/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (88/125) | 55% (47/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 86% (6/7) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.10 | 1.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.90 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Dursun S. 🟨,
- 25', Giorbelidze G. 🟨,
- 45+3', Vukovic J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Akuazaoku U. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
- 63', Fettahoglu M. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 63', Akgun S. ↓, Akpinar M. ↑,
- 68', Ovacikli O. 🟨,
- 68', Demir M. ↓, Altiparmak B. ↑,
- 69', 0 - 1, Kakuta G. ⚽, Erkin C. (A),
- 76', 1 - 1, Keser B. ⚽,
- 84', Ciftpinar S. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
- 84', Kakuta G. ↓, Erdogan E. ↑,
- 87', Demir E. 🟨,
- 90', Keser B. ↓, Ozhan F. ↑,
- 90', Tozlu E. ↓, Yener H. ↑,
- 90+5', Yener H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Erzurumspor
58.6% | Draw
24.7% | Sakaryaspor
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erzurumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzurumspor than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.64) |
3.73 ↑
(3.66) |
5.48 ↑
(4.99) |
8.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Sakaryaspor (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Erzurumspor will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 1.
- Recent performances by Erzurumspor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sakaryaspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Erzurumspor is seen as the favorite.
- There are questionable in Erzurumspor: Ovacikli O.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Erzurumspor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.6:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Erzurumspor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.5:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Erzurumspor won against Sakaryaspor?
Erzurumspor has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Erzurumspor?
Sakaryaspor has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Erzurumspor - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
27.04.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Erzurumspor
1:0
21.12.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Sakaryaspor
0:0
18.12.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Sakaryaspor
2:0
15.04.2024
Erzurumspor
-
Sakaryaspor
0:0
24.11.2023
Sakaryaspor
-
Erzurumspor
2:2
Latest results of Erzurumspor
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pendikspor | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 23:9 | 14 | 22 |
| 2 | Bodrumspor | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 25:9 | 16 | 21 |
| 3 | Corum | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 4 | Erokspor | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:12 | 16 | 20 |
| 5 | Amedspor | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Erzurumspor | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 19:10 | 9 | 19 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Vanspor FK | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 9 | Sakaryaspor | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Bandirmaspor | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 14 |
| 12 | Boluspor | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Serik Spor | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:18 | -9 | 13 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 12 |
| 15 | Keciorengucu | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Manisa FK | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Sariyer | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:15 | -5 | 8 |
| 18 | Umraniyespor | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7:18 | -11 | 8 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11:30 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6:44 | -38 | -17 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
