Result
5:0
01/05/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 38
- Referee: Gokcen O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (364/410) | 89% (410/459) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.79 | 0.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (364/410) | 89% (410/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (20/32) | 69% (42/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (58/76) | 62% (51/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.25 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 3.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.27 | -1.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Adekanye B. ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, Adekanye B. ⚽, Diony L. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Dagli E. ↓, Tuzcu D. ↑,
- 46', Erdem U. ↓, Can Aslan U. ↑,
- 46', Sen A. ↓, Akboga E. ↑,
- 47', Coban O. 🟨,
- 50', 3 - 0, Diony L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 53', 4 - 0, Diony L. ⚽, Kiprit M. (A),
- 57', 5 - 0, Diony L. ⚽, Kose Y. E. (A),
- 59', Sen K. ↓, Turan A. ↑,
- 59', Tekerci Y. ↓, Yesilyurt E. ↑,
- 61', Yildirim P. 🟨,
- 63', Kutuk S. 🟨,
- 66', Kiprit M. ↓, Colak B. ↑,
- 66', Adekanye B. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
- 72', Demir A. ↓, Bingol M. ↑,
- 72', Colak B. 🟨,
- 78', Coban O. ↓, Sunar Y. ↑,
- 84', Diony L. ↓, Yurtdas O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Manisa FK
71.8% | Draw
16.3% | Sakaryaspor
11.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manisa FK's performance.Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sakaryaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-23.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manisa FK that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+15.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sakaryaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Manisa FK - Sakaryaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.28 ↓
(1.97) |
5.71 ↑
(3.65) |
7.38 ↑
(3.28) |
9.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Manisa FK - Sakaryaspor?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1.5 - Manisa (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.75 - Sakaryaspor (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Manisa FK will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manisa FK will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Manisa (votes: 4 - 80%). Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Sakaryaspor is Relegated to
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2.
- In recent matches, Manisa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Sakaryaspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Manisa is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Manisa: Cissokho M.
(Red Card)
Gureler Y.
(Red Card)
Herelle C.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bekaroglu B.
(Yellow Cards)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Manisa FK won against Sakaryaspor?
Manisa FK has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Manisa FK?
Sakaryaspor has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Manisa FK - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
26.12.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Manisa FK
0:2
27.01.2025
Sakaryaspor
-
Manisa FK
1:2
17.08.2024
Manisa FK
-
Sakaryaspor
2:2
02.03.2024
Sakaryaspor
-
Manisa FK
2:0
07.10.2023
Manisa FK
-
Sakaryaspor
1:1
Latest results of Manisa FK
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 82:27 | 55 | 81 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:42 | 39 | 74 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 81:35 | 46 | 74 |
| 4 | Corum | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 63:39 | 24 | 71 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 71:39 | 32 | 64 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 58:33 | 25 | 63 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 73:43 | 30 | 60 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 47:34 | 13 | 60 |
| 9 | Manisa FK | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 57:56 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Sivasspor | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 47:43 | 4 | 53 |
| 11 | Istanbulspor AS | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 57:55 | 2 | 52 |
| 12 | Sariyer | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 44:44 | 0 | 52 |
| 13 | Igdir FK | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 52:54 | -2 | 50 |
| 14 | Vanspor FK | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 52:47 | 5 | 49 |
| 15 | Boluspor | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 61:57 | 4 | 48 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:51 | -4 | 46 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 38 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 44:75 | -31 | 39 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 45:72 | -27 | 34 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 38 | 2 | 8 | 28 | 33:102 | -69 | 14 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor | 38 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 22:169 | -147 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
