Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
97:128
20/02/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9699
Field goals made
3652
Field goals %
37.5%52.53%
2-point field goals attempts
5864
2-point field goals made
2039
2-point field goals %
34.48%60.94%
3-point field goals attempts
3835
3-point field goals made
1613
3-point field goals %
42.11%37.14%
Free throws attempts
1414
Free throws made
911
Free throws %
64.3%78.6%
Offensive rebounds
1211
Defensive rebounds
3347
Total rebounds
4558
Assists
2631
Blocks
35
Turnovers
129
Steals
48
Personal fouls
1620
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Atlanta Hawks
41.6%
Miami Heat
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.9% 56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atlanta Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Hawks than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlanta Hawks, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Miami Heat, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.15)

    1.65
    (1.68)
    3.7%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 244.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    What is the prediction for Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Miami will win (votes: 6 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Atlanta: 52.1%90.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +3.5, OT - Atlanta (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 244, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Atlanta Hawks will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Atlanta (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 120:124.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Miami could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Atlanta: Houstan C. (Inactive) Kuminga J. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Herro T. (Ribs Injury) Larsson P. (Elbow Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Wiggins A. (Toe Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2235:2272. (average 111.8:113.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1001:1016. (average 111.2:112.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat were as follows:
    03.02.2026 Miami Heat - Atlanta Hawks 115:127
    26.12.2025 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 111:126
    13.10.2025 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 119:118
    11.07.2025 Miami Heat - Atlanta Hawks 98:105
    18.04.2025 Atlanta Hawks - Miami Heat 114:123
    Latest results of Atlanta Hawks
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    09.02.2026 Miami Heat - Utah Jazz 111:115
    08.02.2026 Washington Wizards - Miami Heat 101:132
    06.02.2026 Boston Celtics - Miami Heat 98:96
    03.02.2026 Miami Heat - Atlanta Hawks 115:127
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 6954158173:74320.783
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6843257905:78150.632
    4Houston Rockets6741267625:73540.612
    5Denver Nuggets6942278331:80290.609
    6Minnesota Timberwolves6942278171:79350.609
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6834347715:76620.500
    9Golden State Warriors6833357837:77790.485
    10Portland Trail Blazers6933367939:80900.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6723447744:79480.343
    12New Orleans Pelicans6923467979:82600.333
    13Dallas Mavericks6923467808:81570.333
    14Utah Jazz6820487974:84930.294
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6845237774:72810.662
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6738297613:74960.567
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6837318012:79260.544
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Chicago Bulls6828407887:81610.412
    12Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    13Brooklyn Nets6817517247:78600.250
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers6915547672:82900.217

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)