Result
143:117
12/04/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NBA
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3 |
 World | NBA Global League Pass |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 104 | 92 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 58 | 44 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 55.77% | 47.83% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 67 | 48 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 43 | 27 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 64.18% | 56.25% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 37 | 44 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 40.54% | 38.64% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 70.6% | 66.7% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 31 | 33 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 45 | 46 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 33 | 30 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Technical fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Chances of winning
Miami Heat
75% | Atlanta Hawks
25% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+44.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miami Heat's performance.Atlanta Hawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-44.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlanta Hawks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-41.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami Heat that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta Hawks than the current prediction. (+41.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlanta Hawks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Miami Heat - Atlanta Hawks Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(3.07) |
|
3.8 ↑
(1.37) |
4.1%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 241.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Atlanta Hawks?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- 1X2, 1st Half - Miami (2.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 237.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -6.5, OT - Atlanta (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Miami Heat will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Atlanta (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 123:119.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Miami is Qualified for NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 2.
- Miami has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Atlanta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Miami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Miami: Herro T.
(Foot Injury)
Jovic N.
(Ankle Injury)
Rozier T.
(Suspended)
- There will not play in Atlanta: Landale J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Miami: Mitchell D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Powell N.
(Groin Injury)
Smith D.
(Foot Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlanta: Johnson J.
(Rest)
McCollum C.
(Rest)
Okongwu O.
(Finger Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2312:2237. (average 115.6:111.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1168:1139. (average 116.8:113.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Miami Heat won against Atlanta Hawks?
Miami Heat has won 12 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlanta Hawks won against Miami Heat?
Atlanta Hawks has won 8 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Atlanta Hawks were as follows:
20.02.2026
Atlanta Hawks
-
Miami Heat
97:128
03.02.2026
Miami Heat
-
Atlanta Hawks
115:127
26.12.2025
Atlanta Hawks
-
Miami Heat
111:126
13.10.2025
Atlanta Hawks
-
Miami Heat
119:118
11.07.2025
Miami Heat
-
Atlanta Hawks
98:105
Latest results of Miami Heat
Latest results of Atlanta Hawks
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder (1) | Phoenix Suns (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Lakers (4) | Houston Rockets (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | San Antonio Spurs (2) | Portland Trail Blazers (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Denver Nuggets (3) | Minnesota Timberwolves (6) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Detroit Pistons (1) | Orlando Magic (8) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Cleveland Cavaliers (4) | Toronto Raptors (5) | 2 : 2 |
| 7 | Boston Celtics (2) | Philadelphia 76ers (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | New York Knicks (3) | Atlanta Hawks (6) | 2 : 2 |
