Cardiff City vs Stoke City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 42
  • Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.07
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
73% (258/353)75% (259/344)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.461.07
xG on target (xGOT)
0.090.77
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
98
Shots outside the Box
74
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2121
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1113
Passes
73% (258/353)75% (259/344)
Long passes
31% (19/62)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
55% (75/136)58% (50/86)
Crosses
24% (4/17)33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.53
Fouls
1311
Tackles
85% (11/13)76% (13/17)
Duels won
4849
Clearances Total
2133
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
0.770.09
Goals prevented
0.770.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 45+12', Al Hamadi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Al Hamadi A. ↓, Gallagher S. ↑,
  • 57', Robinson C. ↓, Turnbull D. ↑,
  • 60', Phillips A. 🟨,
  • 66', Ashford C. ↓, Tanner O. ↑,
  • 66', Salech Y. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
  • 70', Robertson A. 🟨,
  • 71', Bae J. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
  • 72', Gallagher S. 🟨,
  • 77', Chambers C. ↓, Colwill R. ↑,
  • 77', Alves W. ↓, Davies I. ↑,
  • 83', Manhoef M. ↓, Gooch L. ↑,
  • 83', Thompson J. ↓, Pearson B. ↑,
  • 85', 0 - 1, Fish W. (Own goal),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Cardiff City
41.3%		Draw
28.7%		Stoke City
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 27.6% 32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 27.9% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cardiff City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Stoke City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cardiff City than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stoke City than the current prediction. (+2%)
    •

    Cardiff City - Stoke City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.31 ↓
    (2.35)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.42)    		 3.19 ↑
    (2.92)    		 5.4%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cardiff City - Stoke City?
  • Users Predictions: Cardiff City will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Cardiff City will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League One and 20).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Cardiff will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Cardiff: Alnwick J. (Hamstring Injury) Ng P. (Injury) Ralls J. (Calf Injury) Ramsey A. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Stoke: Sidibe S. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cardiff: El Ghazi A. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Stoke: Stevens E. (Injury) Wilson-Esbrand J. (Leg Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Cardiff won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20:17 (average 1.4:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cardiff won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:4 (average 1.2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff City - Stoke City were as follows:
    08.02.2025 Stoke City - Cardiff City 3:4
    14.12.2024 Stoke City - Cardiff City 2:2
    24.02.2024 Cardiff City - Stoke City 2:1
    04.11.2023 Stoke City - Cardiff City 0:0
    22.04.2023 Cardiff City - Stoke City 1:1
    Latest results of Cardiff City
    08.04.2025 Preston North End - Cardiff City 2:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Queens Park Rangers - Cardiff City 0:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Cardiff City - Sheffield Wednesday 1:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Blackburn Rovers - Cardiff City 1:2 ✺
    11.03.2025 Cardiff City - Luton Town 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Stoke City
    08.04.2025 Stoke City - Luton Town 1:1 ✺
    05.04.2025 Preston North End - Stoke City 1:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Stoke City - Queens Park Rangers 3:1 ✺
    15.03.2025 Millwall - Stoke City 1:0 ✺
    12.03.2025 Stoke City - Blackburn Rovers 1:0 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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