Result
3:1
05/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', 0 - 1, Kareem W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 53', 1 - 1, Al Zubaidi H. ⚽,
- 90+3', 2 - 1, Qabeel M. ⚽,
- 90+9', 3 - 1, Temirov S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arbil
41.3% | Draw
32.9% | Al-Naft
25.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Al-Naft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Naft than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Arbil - Al-Naft Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↑
(2.07) |
2.74 ↓
(3.01) |
3.5 ↓
(3.59) |
10.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Arbil - Al-Naft?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Arbil will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Arbil will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arbil won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Al-Naft?
Arbil has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Naft won against Arbil?
Al-Naft has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arbil - Al-Naft were as follows:
16.04.2025
Arbil
-
Al-Naft
2:3
28.01.2025
Al-Naft
-
Arbil
0:2
12.05.2024
Al-Naft
-
Arbil
0:1
07.05.2023
Al-Naft
-
Arbil
0:2
05.12.2022
Arbil
-
Al-Naft
2:0
Latest results of Al-Naft
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 23 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 33:12 | 21 | 55 |
| 2 | Erbil | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 35:18 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Al Shorta | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 41:19 | 22 | 49 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33:20 | 13 | 44 |
| 5 | Al-Karma | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 42 |
| 6 | Al Zawraa | 23 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 31:20 | 11 | 42 |
| 7 | Zakho | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 31:19 | 12 | 40 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Duhok | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
| 10 | Newroz | 24 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 30:31 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Al Naft | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 12 | Diyala | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 25:24 | 1 | 29 |
| 13 | Al Gharraf | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 29 |
| 14 | Al Mosul | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:30 | -7 | 29 |
| 15 | Al Minaa | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24:28 | -4 | 26 |
| 16 | Al Kahraba | 23 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 24:33 | -9 | 21 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
| 18 | Baghdad | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 19 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 23 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 24 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 7:54 | -47 | 2 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
