Result
1:0
02/05/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 0, Cabrera M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Arbil
52.1% | Draw
26.5% | Al-Karkh
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arbil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Al-Karkh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arbil than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Karkh than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Arbil - Al-Karkh Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.84) |
3.42 ↑
(3.28) |
4.26 ↑
(3.92) |
10.2%
(10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 1.
- Arbil is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Al-Karkh has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Arbil is a strong favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Arbil won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arbil won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arbil won against Al-Karkh?
Arbil has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Karkh won against Arbil?
Al-Karkh has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arbil - Al-Karkh were as follows:
27.01.2026
Al-Karkh
-
Arbil
1:1
29.06.2025
Arbil
-
Al-Karkh
1:3
19.01.2025
Al-Karkh
-
Arbil
2:4
08.05.2024
Al-Karkh
-
Arbil
0:0
28.03.2024
Arbil
-
Al-Karkh
0:0
Latest results of Al-Karkh
Iraqi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 51:20 | 31 | 74 |
| 2 | Al Shorta | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 61:30 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | Erbil | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 46:26 | 20 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Talaba | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 47:30 | 17 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Zawraa | 32 | 15 | 14 | 3 | 45:27 | 18 | 59 |
| 6 | Al-Karma | 32 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 44:24 | 20 | 53 |
| 7 | Zakho | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 40:30 | 10 | 51 |
| 8 | Al Karkh | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 38:32 | 6 | 49 |
| 9 | Newroz | 32 | 14 | 5 | 13 | 42:38 | 4 | 47 |
| 10 | Diyala | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 42 |
| 11 | Duhok | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 35:36 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Al Mosul | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 36:40 | -4 | 41 |
| 13 | Al Naft | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 28:28 | 0 | 39 |
| 14 | Al Gharraf | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 33:35 | -2 | 38 |
| 15 | Baghdad | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 39:57 | -18 | 33 |
| 16 | Al Minaa | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 32 |
| 17 | Naft Missan | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 34:49 | -15 | 30 |
| 18 | Al Kahraba | 31 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 35:47 | -12 | 27 |
| 19 | Al Najaf | 30 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 22:54 | -32 | 15 |
| 20 | Al-Qassim | 32 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 13:80 | -67 | 4 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Stars League (Relegation)
Relegation
