Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
121:110
08/03/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9290
Field goals made
4340
Field goals %
46.74%44.44%
2-point field goals attempts
5953
2-point field goals made
3129
2-point field goals %
52.54%54.72%
3-point field goals attempts
3337
3-point field goals made
1211
3-point field goals %
36.36%29.73%
Free throws attempts
2524
Free throws made
2319
Free throws %
92%79.2%
Offensive rebounds
1214
Defensive rebounds
3626
Total rebounds
4840
Assists
3126
Blocks
511
Turnovers
1112
Steals
94
Personal fouls
2323
Technical fouls
01

Highlights

Chances of winning


Miami Heat
47.8%
Detroit Pistons
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.5% 54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 56.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Miami Heat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Detroit Pistons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit Pistons than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.11)

    1.85
    (1.77)
    3.6%
    (4.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 231.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Miami will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Detroit will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Detroit (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5, 3Q - Detroit (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 231.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Miami (votes: 2 - 50%). Detroit (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 115:117.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miami won 1.
    • Miami is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Detroit has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Detroit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Miami: Fontecchio S. (Groin Injury) Jovic N. (Lower Back Injury) Powell N. (Groin Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There will not play in Detroit: Thompson A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Wiggins A. (Toe Injury)
    • We predict that Miami will win today's game, with odds of 2.01.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Miami won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 2207:2165. (average 110.4:108.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Miami won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1092:1105. (average 109.2:110.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons were as follows:
    01.01.2026 Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat 112:118
    29.11.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 135:138
    17.07.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 88:108
    19.03.2025 Miami Heat - Detroit Pistons 113:116
    16.12.2024 Detroit Pistons - Miami Heat 125:124
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    06.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 120:128
    05.03.2026 Miami Heat - Brooklyn Nets 126:110
    03.03.2026 Miami Heat - Brooklyn Nets 124:98
    28.02.2026 Miami Heat - Houston Rockets 115:105
    26.02.2026 Philadelphia 76ers - Miami Heat 124:117
    Latest results of Detroit Pistons
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 6954158173:74320.783
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6843257905:78150.632
    4Houston Rockets6741267625:73540.612
    5Denver Nuggets6942278331:80290.609
    6Minnesota Timberwolves6942278171:79350.609
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6834347715:76620.500
    9Golden State Warriors6833357837:77790.485
    10Portland Trail Blazers6933367939:80900.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6723447744:79480.343
    12New Orleans Pelicans6923467979:82600.333
    13Dallas Mavericks6923467808:81570.333
    14Utah Jazz6820487974:84930.294
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6845237774:72810.662
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6738297613:74960.567
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6837318012:79260.544
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Chicago Bulls6828407887:81610.412
    12Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    13Brooklyn Nets6817517247:78600.250
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers6915547672:82900.217

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)