Result
123:122
21/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- NBA
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | NBA Global League Pass |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 86 | 92 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 45 | 47 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 52.33% | 51.09% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 51 | 51 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 29 | 31 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 56.86% | 60.78% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 35 | 41 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 45.71% | 39.02% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 81% | 75% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 31 | 30 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 44 | 41 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 33 | 31 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Technical fouls |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Chances of winning
Houston Rockets
55.3% | Miami Heat
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Houston Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Rockets than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Houston Rockets that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miami Heat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Houston Rockets - Miami Heat Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↓
(1.83) |
|
2.14 ↑
(1.9) |
4.1%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 229.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
What is the prediction for Houston Rockets - Miami Heat?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Houston will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Miami will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 31.2% – 83%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miami Heat will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 117:114.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Houston won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Houston: Adams S.
(Ankle Injury)
Tate J.
(Knee Injury)
VanVleet F.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Miami: Jaquez Jr. J.
(Hip Injury)
Rozier T.
(Suspended)
Wiggins A.
(Toe Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Houston won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 2144:2246. (average 107.2:112.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Houston won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 970:998. (average 107.8:110.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Houston Rockets won against Miami Heat?
Houston Rockets has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami Heat won against Houston Rockets?
Miami Heat has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Houston Rockets - Miami Heat were as follows:
28.02.2026
Miami Heat
-
Houston Rockets
115:105
21.03.2025
Miami Heat
-
Houston Rockets
98:102
29.12.2024
Houston Rockets
-
Miami Heat
100:104
05.04.2024
Houston Rockets
-
Miami Heat
104:119
08.01.2024
Miami Heat
-
Houston Rockets
120:113
Latest results of Houston Rockets
Latest results of Miami Heat
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Oklahoma City Thunder (1) | Phoenix Suns (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Los Angeles Lakers (4) | Houston Rockets (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | San Antonio Spurs (2) | Portland Trail Blazers (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Denver Nuggets (3) | Minnesota Timberwolves (6) | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Detroit Pistons (1) | Orlando Magic (8) | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Cleveland Cavaliers (4) | Toronto Raptors (5) | 2 : 2 |
| 7 | Boston Celtics (2) | Philadelphia 76ers (7) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | New York Knicks (3) | Atlanta Hawks (6) | 2 : 2 |
