Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
127:126 OT
14/04/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
113103
Field goals made
5049
Field goals %
44.25%47.57%
2-point field goals attempts
5762
2-point field goals made
3233
2-point field goals %
56.14%53.23%
3-point field goals attempts
5641
3-point field goals made
1816
3-point field goals %
32.14%39.02%
Free throws attempts
914
Free throws made
912
Free throws %
100%85.7%
Offensive rebounds
1712
Defensive rebounds
3736
Total rebounds
5448
Assists
2632
Blocks
78
Turnovers
87
Steals
44
Personal fouls
219
Technical fouls
01

Highlights

Chances of winning


Charlotte Hornets
67.9%
Miami Heat
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2% 36.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte Hornets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte Hornets than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.48)

    3
    (2.76)
    3.9%
    (3.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 228.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Miami will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Miami: 32%80.6%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -5, OT - Miami (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Miami (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5, OT - Miami (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Miami Heat will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Miami (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 117:111.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Charlotte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Charlotte could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Hall P. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Jovic N. (Ankle Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended) Smith D. (Foot Injury)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Fontecchio S. (Ankle Injury)
    • We predict that Charlotte will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 2200:2331. (average 110:116.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1123:1112. (average 112.3:111.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat were as follows:
    17.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 136:106
    06.03.2026 Charlotte Hornets - Miami Heat 120:128
    07.11.2025 Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets 126:108
    28.10.2025 Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets 144:117
    23.03.2025 Miami Heat - Charlotte Hornets 122:105
    Latest results of Charlotte Hornets
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    12.04.2026 Miami Heat - Atlanta Hawks 143:117
    10.04.2026 Washington Wizards - Miami Heat 152:136
    09.04.2026 Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat 128:114
    07.04.2026 Toronto Raptors - Miami Heat 121:95
    04.04.2026 Miami Heat - Washington Wizards 152:136
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 2
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)4 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)2 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)3 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 2
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)3 : 2