Result
0:2
07/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 40
- Referee: Finnie W. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Forest Green Rovers
16.2% | Draw
24.5% | Derby County
59.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Forest Green Rovers's form might have worsened.Derby County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derby County's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Forest Green Rovers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Derby County, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Forest Green Rovers - Derby County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.82 ↑
(4.15) |
3.83 ↑
(3.6) |
1.6 ↓
(1.8) |
5.8%
(7.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Forest Green Rovers - Derby County?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Derby will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 7).
- Forest Green has the most likely position - 24 (92.24%), project points - 31, currently - 26, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Derby has the most likely position - 6 (29.21%), project points - 76, currently - 64, not chance of relegated, a chance of prom. playoffs (46%), a small chance of promoted (10%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 13, small importance 13, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- The competitors look crappy now.
- In this match Derby is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Forest Green won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Forest Green Rovers won against Derby County?
Forest Green Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Forest Green Rovers?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Forest Green Rovers - Derby County were as follows:
17.12.2022
Derby County
-
Forest Green Rovers
4:0
Latest results of Forest Green Rovers
Latest results of Derby County
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:2 | 10 | 17 |
| 2 | Bradford City | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | Barnsley | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:9 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Stevenage | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 16 |
| 5 | Doncaster | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 16 |
| 6 | Huddersfield | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 15:11 | 4 | 15 |
| 7 | Lincoln | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 8 | Wigan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 9 | Luton | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:6 | 4 | 12 |
| 10 | Stockport County | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Bolton | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 11 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 |
| 15 | Northampton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 10 |
| 16 | Exeter | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 | Plymouth | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Rotherham | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 19 | Wycombe | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 20 | Port Vale | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
| 21 | Reading | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 5 |
| 22 | Burton | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
