Derby County vs Ipswich Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
07/02/2026 at 07:31 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 31
  • Referee: Smith J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10, Free
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
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indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 1, Sport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
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malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
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uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Network, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.031.27
Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
15
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
37
Passes
82% (315/384)80% (258/321)
Yellow cards
34
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.031.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.761.40
Total shots
913
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
36
Shots inside the box
59
Shots outside the box
44
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
01
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
3029
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free kicks
149
Passes
82% (315/384)80% (258/321)
Long passes
46% (24/52)41% (16/39)
Passes in final third
66% (76/116)67% (73/109)
Crosses
25% (4/16)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.501.13
Throw ins
2417
Fouls
914
Tackles
71% (5/7)50% (7/14)
Duels won
5444
Clearances
2439
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
50
xGOT faced
1.400.76
Goals prevented
0.40-0.24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Travis L. (Own goal),
  • 13', Travis L. 🟨,
  • 30', Taylor J. 🟨,
  • 33', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Batth D. 🟨,
  • 63', Brereton Diaz B. , Banel J. ,
  • 63', Ozoh D. , Fraulo O. ,
  • 64', Burns W. , McAteer K. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Brewster R. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 75', Taylor J. , Neil D. ,
  • 76', Azon I. , Hirst G. ,
  • 76', Clarke J. , Akpom Ch. ,
  • 77', 1 - 2, Davis L. , McAteer K. (A),
  • 82', Brewster R. , Salvesen L. ,
  • 83', McAteer K. 🟨,
  • 90', Clark B. , Eames O. ,
  • 90+2', Travis L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Furlong D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
25.4%
Draw
27.5%
Ipswich Town
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 28.1% 46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8% 27.3% 47.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Derby County - Ipswich Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.73
    (3.7)
    3.44
    (3.36)
    2.01
    (2.04)
    5.6%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Derby County - Ipswich Town?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). Ipswich will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 19.1%73.3%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 2 - 40%). Ipswich (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.5 - Derby (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 50%). Ipswich (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Derby won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Ipswich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ipswich has had a series of home games.
    • Ipswich will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Derby: Morris C. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Ipswich: Nunez M. (Injury) Philogene J. (Injury) Townsend C. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Derby: Johnston M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Derby won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Ipswich Town were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Ipswich Town - Derby County 2:2
    01.04.2023 Derby County - Ipswich Town 0:2
    21.10.2022 Ipswich Town - Derby County 1:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Ipswich Town
    English League Championship Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry462811797:455295
    2Ipswich462315880:473384
    3Millwall4624111164:491583
    4Southampton4622141082:562680
    5Middlesbrough4622141072:472580
    6Hull4621101570:66473
    7Wrexham4619141369:65471
    8Derby462091767:59869
    9Norwich461981963:56765
    10Birmingham4617131657:56164
    11Swansea4618101857:59-264
    12Bristol City4617111859:59062
    13Sheffield Utd461862266:66060
    14Preston4615151655:62-760
    15QPR4616102061:73-1258
    16Watford4614151753:65-1257
    17Stoke4615102151:56-555
    18Portsmouth4614131949:64-1555
    19Charlton4613141944:58-1453
    20Blackburn4613132042:56-1452
    21West Brom4613141948:58-1051
    22Oxford Utd4611142145:59-1447
    23Leicester4612161858:68-1046
    24Sheffield Wed462123229:89-600

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          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One