Stevenage Borough vs AFC Wimbledon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lamex Stadium (Stevenage).

League One - Round 37
Referee: Bourne D. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.49	0.31
Ball possession
36%	64%
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
1	7
Passes
57% (132/232)	71% (290/411)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.49	0.31
xG on target (xGOT)
1.70	0.00
Total shots
9	7
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
6	6
Shots outside the box
3	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	0
Corner kicks
1	7
Touches in opposition box
18	19
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
11	12
Passes
57% (132/232)	71% (290/411)
Long passes
22% (14/65)	34% (27/80)
Passes in final third
46% (46/100)	51% (76/149)
Crosses
42% (5/12)	30% (7/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.69	0.51
Throw ins
47	35
Fouls
12	11
Tackles
56% (10/18)	78% (21/27)
Duels won
59	61
Clearances
51	36
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
0	3
xGOT faced
0.00	1.70
Goals prevented
0.00	0.70

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Smith A. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Reid J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Kemp D. 🟨,
65', Maycock C. ↓, Nelson Z. ↑,
65', Stevens M. ↓, Bugiel O. ↑,
65', Smith A. ↓, Reeves J. ↑,
77', Lewis J. ↓, Nkeng R. ↑,
77', Browne M. ↓, Hackford A. ↑,
78', Houghton J. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
78', Reid J. ↓, Roberts J. ↑,
78', Patterson P. ↓, Pattenden J. ↑,
86', Kemp D. ↓, Lubala B. ↑,
90+3', Freestone L. 🟨,
90+4', Hippolyte M. 🟨,
90+7', Lubala B. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Stevenage Borough
46.7%

Draw
29.7%

AFC Wimbledon
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.7%

28.5%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

27.3%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

AFC Wimbledon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stevenage Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Wimbledon than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (1.84)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	3.95 ↓ (4.18)	6.4% (9.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Stevenage (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stevenage Borough will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stevenage (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 3.
Stevenage has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Wimbledon is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Wimbledon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Stevenage is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Stevenage: Simpson T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Wimbledon: Sasu A. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Stevenage: Cornick H. (Injury)
There are questionable in Wimbledon: Stewart L. (Inactive) Tilley J. (Inactive)
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Stevenage won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Stevenage won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Stevenage Borough won against AFC Wimbledon?

Stevenage Borough has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has AFC Wimbledon won against Stevenage Borough?

AFC Wimbledon has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon were as follows:

26.12.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 0:0

02.09.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 1:5

05.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:1

15.04.2023 Stevenage Borough - AFC Wimbledon 2:1

28.02.2023 AFC Wimbledon - Stevenage Borough 2:3

Latest results of Stevenage Borough

10.03.2026 Stevenage Borough - Leyton Orient 1:2 ✺

07.03.2026 Burton Albion - Stevenage Borough 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Stevenage Borough - Stockport County 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 3:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Stevenage Borough - Port Vale 2:1 ✺

Latest results of AFC Wimbledon

11.03.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Blackpool 4:1 ✺

08.03.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Northampton Town 1:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Mansfield Town - AFC Wimbledon 2:2 ✺

21.02.2026 AFC Wimbledon - Bradford City 3:1 ✺

17.02.2026 Cardiff City - AFC Wimbledon 4:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship