Rayo Vallecano vs Real Sociedad – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Campo de Futbol de Vallecas (Madrid).

LaLiga - Round 32
Referee: Guzman J. (Esp)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3, ZAP
Albania	SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Cameroon	CRTV Sports
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Canal 5, Izzi TV, ViX Premium
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 2
Switzerland	Blue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Vietnam	ON Football, ON Plus, SCTV 15, SCTV Online, VTVcab

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.21	2.00
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
24	13
Shots on target
9	8
Big chances
5	4
Corner kicks
6	4
Passes
85% (352/412)	76% (226/299)
Yellow cards
5	3
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
2.21	2.00
xG on target (xGOT)
3.02	3.29
Total shots
24	13
Shots on target
9	8
Shots off target
8	3
Blocked shots
7	2
Shots inside the box
14	10
Shots outside the box
10	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
5	4
Corner kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
26	31
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
0	2
Free kicks
12	14
Passes
85% (352/412)	76% (226/299)
Long passes
53% (28/53)	47% (24/51)
Passes in final third
71% (67/95)	65% (60/92)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	36% (4/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.50	0.92
Throw ins
24	24
Fouls
14	12
Tackles
85% (11/13)	68% (13/19)
Duels won
41	50
Clearances
28	30
Interceptions
17	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	6
xGOT faced
3.29	3.02
Goals prevented
0.29	0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Oyarzabal M. ⚽, Barrenetxea A. (A),
29', Palazon I. 🟨,
30', 1 - 1, Camello S. ⚽,
45+1', Gomez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', Ciss P. 🟨,
56', Kubo T. ↓, Sucic L. ↑,
56', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Marin P. ↑,
56', Oskarsson O. 🟨,
63', 1 - 2, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
64', Martin C. ↓, Diaz P. ↑,
64', Camello S. ↓, de Frutos J. ↑,
64', Mendy N. ↓, Alemao ↑,
67', Oskarsson O. ↓, Gorrotxategi J. ↑,
67', Turrientes B. ↓, Herrera Y. ↑,
68', Palazon I. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
75', Ratiu A. 🟨,
76', 1 - 3, Oyarzabal M. (Penalty Awarded),
82', Lopez U. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
84', 2 - 3, Lejeune F. ⚽, Akhomach I. (A),
90+1', Gomez S. ↓, Munoz A. ↑,
90+7', Soler C. 🟨,
90+7', Lejeune F. 🟨,
90+9', 3 - 3, Alemao ⚽, Diaz P. (A),
90+10', Alemao 🟨,
90+13', Palazon I. 🟥,

Chances of winning

Rayo Vallecano
33.6%

Draw
28.7%

Real Sociedad
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.1%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Vallecano's form might have worsened.

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.44)	3.35 ↓ (3.63)	2.54 ↓ (2.73)	4.5% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad?

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). Real Sociedad will win (votes: 9 - 32.1%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 18% – 53.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Rayo Vallecano (1.93) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 1 - 50%). Real Sociedad (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 2.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Real Sociedad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Batalla A. (Yellow Cards) Luiz Felipe (Injury) Mendez D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Real Sociedad: Guedes G. (Toe Injury) Karrikaburu J. (Ankle Injury) Odriozola A. (Knee Injury) Ruperez I. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury) Nteka R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Elustondo A. (Head Injury) Herrera Y. (Injury) Sucic L. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rayo Vallecano won 6 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 1.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Vallecano won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Rayo Vallecano won against Real Sociedad?

Rayo Vallecano has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad won against Rayo Vallecano?

Real Sociedad has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad were as follows:

05.10.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:1

16.01.2025 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 3:1

18.08.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 1:2

27.01.2024 Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano 0:0

29.10.2023 Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad 2:2

Latest results of Rayo Vallecano

23.04.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Espanyol 1:0 ✺

16.04.2026 AEK Athens - Rayo Vallecano 3:1 ✺

12.04.2026 Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano 3:0 ✺

09.04.2026 Rayo Vallecano - AEK Athens 3:0 ✺

03.04.2026 Rayo Vallecano - Elche 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Real Sociedad

22.04.2026 Real Sociedad - Getafe 0:1 ✺

18.04.2026 Atlético Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:3 ✺

11.04.2026 Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés 3:3 ✺

04.04.2026 Real Sociedad - Levante 2:0 ✺

20.03.2026 Villarreal - Real Sociedad 3:1 ✺

Spanish LaLiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Barcelona ✔	33	28	1	4	87:30	57	85
2	Real Madrid ✔	33	23	5	5	68:31	37	74
3	Villarreal	33	20	5	8	59:38	21	65
4	Atl. Madrid	33	18	6	9	56:37	19	60
5	Betis	33	12	14	7	49:41	8	50
6	Getafe	33	13	5	15	28:34	-6	44
7	Celta Vigo	33	11	11	11	45:43	2	44
8	Real Sociedad	33	11	10	12	52:52	0	43
9	Osasuna	33	11	9	13	39:40	-1	42
10	Ath Bilbao	33	12	5	16	36:48	-12	41
11	Rayo Vallecano	33	9	12	12	33:41	-8	39
12	Valencia	33	10	9	14	37:48	-11	39
13	Espanyol	33	10	9	14	37:49	-12	39
14	Elche	33	9	11	13	44:50	-6	38
15	Girona	33	9	11	13	36:50	-14	38
16	Alaves	33	9	9	15	38:49	-11	36
17	Mallorca	33	9	8	16	41:51	-10	35
18	Sevilla	33	9	7	17	40:55	-15	34
19	Levante	33	8	9	16	37:50	-13	33
20	Oviedo	33	6	10	17	26:51	-25	28

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ LaLiga2

Clinched Spots for Teams

Barcelona is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
Real Madrid is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )