Result
3:0
09/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 9
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 90+3', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
SB Castelo Branco
43.4% | Draw
29.6% | Marinhense
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SB Castelo Branco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SB Castelo Branco's form might have worsened.Marinhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SB Castelo Branco than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SB Castelo Branco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (-5%)
SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.82) |
3.08 ↓
(3.25) |
3.36 ↓
(4.09) |
9.9%
(10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 2.
- SB Castelo Branco is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Marinhense has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- SB Castelo Branco may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, SB Castelo Branco is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, SB Castelo Branco won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 0.9:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, SB Castelo Branco won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 0.7:0).
How many head-to-head matches has SB Castelo Branco won against Marinhense?
SB Castelo Branco has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marinhense won against SB Castelo Branco?
Marinhense has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SB Castelo Branco - Marinhense were as follows:
29.03.2025
SB Castelo Branco
-
Marinhense
0:0
08.12.2024
Marinhense
-
SB Castelo Branco
0:0
07.01.2024
SB Castelo Branco
-
Marinhense
2:0
20.08.2023
Marinhense
-
SB Castelo Branco
4:3
02.04.2023
Marinhense
-
SB Castelo Branco
1:2
Latest results of SB Castelo Branco
Latest results of Marinhense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:7 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | SB Castelo Branco | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 35:19 | 16 | 35 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 26:19 | 7 | 32 |
| 4 | Mortagua | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 19:18 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 | Oliveira Hospital | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 23:11 | 12 | 31 |
| 6 | Uniao Da Serra | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 29:19 | 10 | 31 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Peniche | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 24 |
| 9 | Fatima | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 |
| 10 | Lajense | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 22 |
| 11 | Marinhense | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 19 |
| 12 | Samora Correia | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 13:25 | -12 | 17 |
| 13 | SC Lusitania | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 16 |
| 14 | Electrico | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
