Necaxa vs UNAM – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Necaxa
41.6%
Draw
27%
UNAM
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.8% 26.5% 31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2% 27.4% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • UNAM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Necaxa - UNAM Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (2.26)
    3.43
    (3.56)
    2.93
    (2.98)
    8.1%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 2.
    • Necaxa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • UNAM is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 1.5:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - UNAM were as follows:
    10.08.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 1:1
    12.01.2025 UNAM - Necaxa 2:1
    13.09.2024 Necaxa - UNAM 2:0
    31.01.2024 UNAM - Necaxa 2:2
    27.10.2023 Necaxa - UNAM 1:0
    Latest results of Necaxa
    03.03.2026 Pachuca - Necaxa 2:1
    28.02.2026 Club León - Necaxa 2:1
    21.02.2026 Necaxa - Toluca 0:3
    14.02.2026 Juárez - Necaxa 1:2
    Latest results of UNAM
    03.03.2026 UNAM - Toluca 2:3
    27.02.2026 Tijuana - UNAM 1:1
    22.02.2026 UNAM - Monterrey 2:0
    13.02.2026 Puebla - UNAM 2:3
    10.02.2026 UNAM - San Diego 1:0
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cruz Azul971117:9822
    2Toluca963014:41021
    3Guadalajara Chivas860212:8418
    4Pachuca952211:7417
    5UNAM Pumas944117:10716
    6Tigres UANL841315:9613
    7Atlas841310:12-213
    8Club America83238:7111
    9Atl. San Luis931516:15110
    10Monterrey831410:9110
    11Club Leon83149:11-210
    12Club Tijuana81617:709
    13Necaxa930611:15-49
    14Puebla82245:10-58
    15Juarez721411:13-27
    16Mazatlan FC92169:18-97
    17Queretaro71337:10-36
    18Santos Laguna902710:25-152

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)