Result
0:4
26/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 10
- Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (244/302) | 92% (539/583) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 2.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 2.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (244/302) | 92% (539/583) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (21/44) | 78% (31/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (34/53) | 86% (113/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (3/14) | 43% (9/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.27 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', Crespo M. 🟨,
- 22', 0 - 1, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Crespo M. (A),
- 29', Sinik D. 🟨,
- 43', Sinik D. 🟨,
- 45+4', 0 - 2, Da Costa N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Gueye B. ↓, Yildirim P. ↑,
- 53', 0 - 3, Da Costa N. ⚽, Sari Y. (A),
- 60', Sari Y. ↓, Turuc D. ↑,
- 60', Crespo M. ↓, Harit A. ↑,
- 66', Gunes U. 🟨,
- 69', Gunes U. ↓, Kaluzinski J. ↑,
- 75', van de Streek S. ↓, Safuri R. ↑,
- 75', Saric D. ↓, Turkmen H. ↑,
- 75', Paal K. ↓, Karakoc S. ↑,
- 78', Karakoc S. 🟨,
- 78', Ozdemir B. ↓, Kemen O. ↑,
- 78', Da Costa N. ↓, Brnic I. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 4, Shomurodov E. ⚽, Harit A. (A),
- 89', Omur A. ↓, Kayaarasi K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Antalyaspor
26.5% | Draw
27% | İstanbul Başakşehir
46.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Antalyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Antalyaspor's form might have worsened.İstanbul Başakşehir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting İstanbul Başakşehir's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antalyaspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Antalyaspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for İstanbul Başakşehir than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.89) |
3.55 ↓
(3.59) |
2.13 ↓
(2.31) |
3.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Antalyaspor will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). Başakşehir will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Başakşehir: 53.9% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.25 - Antalyaspor (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): İstanbul Başakşehir will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Antalyaspor (votes: 1 - 25%). Başakşehir (votes: 3 - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 2.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Başakşehir may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Antalyaspor: Ozturk B.
(Muscle Injury)
Sari V.
(Muscle Injury)
Saric D.
(Muscle Injury)
Yesilyurt E.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Başakşehir: Alemdar D.
(Inactive)
Harit A.
(Inactive)
Kaluzinski J.
(Inactive)
Yildirim B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Başakşehir: Selke D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Antalyaspor won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:36. (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Antalyaspor won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Antalyaspor won against İstanbul Başakşehir?
Antalyaspor has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has İstanbul Başakşehir won against Antalyaspor?
İstanbul Başakşehir has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Antalyaspor - İstanbul Başakşehir were as follows:
09.02.2025
Antalyaspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
0:0
01.09.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Antalyaspor
5:2
09.03.2024
İstanbul Başakşehir
-
Antalyaspor
1:0
29.10.2023
Antalyaspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
1:0
14.07.2023
Antalyaspor
-
İstanbul Başakşehir
2:1
Latest results of Antalyaspor
Latest results of İstanbul Başakşehir
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
