Newcastle United vs Leeds United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League
Result
4:3
07/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 21
  • Referee: Salisbury M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, SuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 3 DRM, FuboTV
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 6, Cytavision Sports 6
czech-republicCzech-republicCANAL+ Sport 2, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3+, Viaplay
europeEuropeGo3 Extra Sports Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFranceCanal+ Live 2, CANAL+ Sport, Free
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 5
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport 4
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
irelandIrelandNOW
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
japanJapanU-NEXT
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, Astro Premier League 3, Astro Premier League 5, Sooka
mexicoMexicoHBO Max
nepalNepalKantipur Max
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandSKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 4
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport Premier League 2
pakistanPakistanARY ZAP
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport OTT 7, SuperSport Variety 1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandCanal+ Sport, Canal+ Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
thailandThailandAIS PLAY
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Cricket
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaNBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamFPT Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.722.26
Ball possession
63%37%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
86
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
84
Passes
87% (467/539)77% (252/326)
Yellow cards
32
Expected goals (xG)
2.722.26
xG on target (xGOT)
2.971.84
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
43
Shots inside the box
1512
Shots outside the box
32
Hit the woodwork
21
Headed goals
10
Big chances
23
Corner kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
3826
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free kicks
1011
Passes
87% (467/539)77% (252/326)
Long passes
52% (24/46)49% (26/53)
Passes in final third
82% (106/129)63% (69/110)
Crosses
26% (9/35)36% (5/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.950.78
Throw ins
1615
Fouls
1110
Tackles
64% (9/14)44% (8/18)
Duels won
5052
Clearances
3134
Interceptions
918
Errors leading to shot
30
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
33
xGOT faced
1.842.97
Goals prevented
-1.16-1.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 7', Thiaw M. 🟨,
  • 22', Calvert-Lewin D. 🟨,
  • 32', 0 - 1, Aaronson B. ⚽, Calvert-Lewin D. (A),
  • 36', 1 - 1, Barnes H. ⚽, Woltemade N. (A),
  • 45+3', Gordon A. 🟨,
  • 45+5', 1 - 2, Calvert-Lewin D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45+6', Joelinton 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Thiaw M. ↓, Botman S. ↑,
  • 46', Tonali S. ↓, Livramento V. ↑,
  • 54', 2 - 2, Joelinton ⚽, Bruno Guimaraes (A),
  • 75', Schar F. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
  • 75', Woltemade N. ↓, Wissa Y. ↑,
  • 79', 2 - 3, Aaronson B. ⚽, Gruev I. (A),
  • 80', Stach A. ↓, Okafor N. ↑,
  • 81', Gordon A. ↓, Murphy A. ↑,
  • 86', Calvert-Lewin D. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
  • 90+1', 3 - 3, Bruno Guimaraes (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+7', Gruev I. ↓, Tanaka A. ↑,
  • 90+7', Aaronson B. ↓, Gnonto W. ↑,
  • 90+7', Rodon J. ↓, Bornauw S. ↑,
  • 90+10', Ampadu E. 🟨,
  • 90+12', 4 - 3, Barnes H. ⚽, Botman S. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2tmbap7s

Chances of winning


Newcastle United
57%		Draw
24.4%		Leeds United
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 21.7% 13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5% 22.9% 12.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle United's form might have worsened.
  • Leeds United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leeds United's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leeds United than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leeds United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Newcastle United - Leeds United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.68 ↑
    (1.47)    		 3.94 ↓
    (4.4)    		 5.11 ↓
    (7.1)    		 4.4%
    (4.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Newcastle United - Leeds United?
  • Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 49 - 70%). Leeds will win (votes: 8 - 11.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 18.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 59.3% – 80.7%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Leeds (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Newcastle United will win (23 of 29 users predict this - 79.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 30 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 23 - 76.7%). Leeds (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 10%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
    • Newcastle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Leeds's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Newcastle is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Newcastle: Burn D. (Chest Injury) Elanga A. (Knee Injury) Krafth E. (Knee Injury) Lascelles J. (Muscle Injury) Osula W. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Leeds: James D. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Newcastle: Murphy J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leeds: Bogle J. (Calf Injury) Rodon J. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle United - Leeds United were as follows:
    30.08.2025 Leeds United - Newcastle United 0:0
    13.05.2023 Leeds United - Newcastle United 2:2
    31.12.2022 Newcastle United - Leeds United 0:0
    Latest results of Newcastle United
    04.01.2026 Newcastle United - Crystal Palace 2:0 ✺
    30.12.2025 Burnley - Newcastle United 1:3 ✺
    26.12.2025 Manchester United - Newcastle United 1:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Newcastle United - Chelsea 2:2 ✺
    17.12.2025 Newcastle United - Fulham 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Leeds United
    04.01.2026 Leeds United - Manchester United 1:1 ✺
    01.01.2026 Liverpool - Leeds United 0:0 ✺
    28.12.2025 Sunderland - Leeds United 1:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Leeds United - Crystal Palace 4:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 Brentford - Leeds United 1:1 ✺
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal29197358:223664
    2Manchester City28185557:253259
    3Manchester Utd28149550:381251
    4Aston Villa28156738:30851
    5Liverpool28146847:371048
    6Chelsea28129749:331645
    7Brentford291351144:40444
    8Everton291271034:33143
    9Bournemouth29913744:46-240
    10Fulham281241240:42-240
    11Sunderland291010930:34-440
    12Brighton28910938:35337
    13Newcastle281061240:42-236
    14Crystal Palace28981130:34-435
    15Leeds297101237:48-1131
    16Tottenham28781338:43-529
    17Nottingham28761526:41-1527
    18West Ham28671534:54-2025
    19Burnley29471832:58-2619
    20Wolves29272020:51-3113

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Championship

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