Result
1:0
19/04/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 30
- Referee: Aksu O. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (326/402) | 85% (423/499) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (326/402) | 85% (423/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (29/68) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (47/83) | 73% (46/63) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.23 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 100% (6/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.36 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 12', Hwang Ui-Jo 🟨,
- 22', Arous A. 🟨,
- 45+1', Akdag U. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 1 - 0, Kahveci I. C. ⚽,
- 60', Paulo Victor 🟨,
- 61', Yalcin G. ↓, Hagi I. ↑,
- 61', Makouta G. ↓, Maestro ↑,
- 67', Akdag U. ↓, Bruno Viana ↑,
- 76', Ben Ouanes M. ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
- 78', Bruno Viana 🟨,
- 81', Ruan ↓, Keskin E. ↑,
- 82', Kaya I. ↓, Mounie S. ↑,
- 88', Benedyczak A. ↓, Kanatsizkus K. ↑,
- 88', Diabate F. ↓, Kol A. ↑,
- 90+6', Baldursson A. F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kasımpaşa
35.9% | Draw
31.1% | Alanyaspor
32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kasımpaşa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Alanyaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kasımpaşa than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alanyaspor than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65
(2.65) |
3.04 ↓
(3.36) |
2.88 ↑
(2.61) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Kasımpaşa will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 71.4% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasımpaşa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 4.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Kasımpaşa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Kasımpaşa: Demirbay K.
(Red Card)
Hajradinovic H.
(Knee Injury)
Rodrigo Becao
(Yellow Cards)
Tasdemir E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Alanyaspor: Elia M.
(Inactive)
Hagi I.
(Injury)
Ozdemir Y.
(Suspended)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kasımpaşa won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 36:32. (average 1.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kasımpaşa won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 2.2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kasımpaşa won against Alanyaspor?
Kasımpaşa has won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alanyaspor won against Kasımpaşa?
Alanyaspor has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kasımpaşa - Alanyaspor were as follows:
23.11.2025
Alanyaspor
-
Kasımpaşa
1:2
15.03.2025
Kasımpaşa
-
Alanyaspor
2:1
20.10.2024
Alanyaspor
-
Kasımpaşa
1:2
04.02.2024
Kasımpaşa
-
Alanyaspor
2:1
17.09.2023
Alanyaspor
-
Kasımpaşa
3:3
Latest results of Kasımpaşa
Latest results of Alanyaspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 32 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 73:27 | 46 | 74 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 71:34 | 37 | 70 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 32 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 59:35 | 24 | 66 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 32 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 59 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 40:28 | 12 | 52 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 32 | 14 | 9 | 9 | 53:34 | 19 | 51 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 43:42 | 1 | 48 |
| 8 | Rizespor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 40 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:45 | -3 | 40 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41:54 | -13 | 37 |
| 11 | Kocaelispor | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | -10 | 36 |
| 12 | Alanyaspor | 31 | 6 | 15 | 10 | 37:38 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:45 | -16 | 31 |
| 14 | Genclerbirligi | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:44 | -14 | 28 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 25:44 | -19 | 28 |
| 16 | Antalyaspor | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 30:51 | -21 | 28 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 23:57 | -34 | 26 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 27:53 | -26 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
