Result
1:0
15/12/2025 at 13:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 14
- Referee: Costa B. J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | ZAP |
 Bulgaria | Ring, Voyo |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 5, Cytavision Sports 5 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 7 |
 Hungary | Sport 2 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.61 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (705/770) | 82% (302/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (705/770) | 82% (302/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (19/37) | 28% (12/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (164/195) | 53% (34/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 13% (1/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.31 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | 0.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', Wendell 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Horta R. ⚽, Martinez G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Rocha L. 🟨,
- 59', Zalazar R. ↓, Victor P. ↑,
- 59', Moutinho J. ↓, Gorby ↑,
- 59', Paulo Victor ↓, MT ↑,
- 67', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
- 67', Serginho ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 70', Martinez G. ↓, Gomez V. ↑,
- 74', Ferreira P. 🟨,
- 76', Lima S. ↓, Silva H. ↑,
- 76', Ferreira P. ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 83', Niakate S. ↓, Vitor Carvalho ↑,
- 83', Navarro F. ↓, Gabriel Moscardo ↑,
- 88', Victor P. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Braga
67.1% | Draw
21.6% | Santa Clara
11.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Santa Clara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Braga - Santa Clara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.5) |
4.36 ↑
(3.99) |
8.31 ↑
(7.14) |
5.9%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Braga - Santa Clara?
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Braga will win (votes: 31 - 86.1%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braga: 74.8% – 97.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Braga (1.78) (votes: 3 - 60%) .
- AH -1.75 - Braga (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Braga (1.87) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/E Goals, 1st Half - odd (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Braga (1.46) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Braga (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Braga will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 34 high ROI users predict this event. Braga (votes: 27 - 79.4%). Santa Clara (votes: 7 - 20.6%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braga won 4.
- Braga is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Santa Clara has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Braga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Braga has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Braga is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Braga: Noro J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Santa Clara: Pacheco P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Braga: Pascoal F.
(Injury)
Vidigal S.
(Injury)
- We predict that Braga will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Braga won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 39:15. (average 2.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Braga won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:7. (average 2.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Braga won against Santa Clara?
Braga has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Braga?
Santa Clara has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Braga - Santa Clara were as follows:
29.10.2025
Braga
-
Santa Clara
5:0
03.05.2025
Braga
-
Santa Clara
1:1
22.12.2024
Santa Clara
-
Braga
0:2
14.05.2023
Braga
-
Santa Clara
5:3
05.01.2023
Santa Clara
-
Braga
0:4
Latest results of Santa Clara
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
