Lorient vs Monaco, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
3:1
27/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 6
  • Referee: Buquet R. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.93
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
195
Shots on target
82
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (453/515)91% (516/570)
Yellow Cards
23
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
2.520.93
xG on target (xGOT)
1.780.83
Total shots
195
Shots on target
82
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
122
Shots outside the Box
73
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
3112
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1110
Passes
88% (453/515)91% (516/570)
Long passes
67% (32/48)58% (26/45)
Passes in final third
85% (111/130)78% (113/145)
Crosses
12% (2/17)14% (3/21)
Expected assists (xA)
1.510.48
Throw-ins
1612
Fouls
1011
Tackles
44% (7/16)87% (13/15)
Duels won
4630
Clearances
2617
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
15
xGOT faced
0.831.78
Goals prevented
-0.17-1.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 9', Kehrer T. 🟨,
  • 21', Vanderson 🟨,
  • 38', Kehrer T. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Bamba M. ⚽, Kouassi A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Vanderson ↓, Diatta K. ↑,
  • 46', Biereth M. ↓, Balogun F. ↑,
  • 47', Karim D. 🟨,
  • 48', Bamba M. 🟨,
  • 63', Bamba M. ↓, Soumano S. ↑,
  • 63', Tosin A. ↓, Makengo J. ↑,
  • 65', Ilenikhena G. ↓, Fati A. ↑,
  • 65', Minamino T. ↓, Idumbo S. ↑,
  • 72', Karim D. ↓, Pagis P. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Pagis P. ⚽, Soumano S. (A),
  • 81', Coulibaly M. ↓, Cabral P. ↑,
  • 82', 3 - 0, Pagis P. ⚽, Makengo J. (A),
  • 85', Avom A. ↓, Cadiou N. ↑,
  • 85', Le Bris T. ↓, Mvuka Mugisha J. ↑,
  • 90+7', 3 - 1, Fati A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Lorient
23.1%		Draw
24.3%		Monaco
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.3% 21.7% 59%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9% 21.2% 60.4%

Lorient - Monaco Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 4.12 ↓
(4.93)		 3.99 ↓
(4.37)		 1.86 ↑
(1.61)		 3.1%
(5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Lorient - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: Monaco will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Monaco will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 0.
    • Lorient is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Monaco has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Lorient may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Monaco is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Lorient: Adjei N. (Ankle Injury) Fadiga B. (Ankle Injury) Katseris P. (Thigh Injury) Sanusi T. (Lacking Match Fitness) Toure I. (Knee Injury) Yongwa D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Monaco: Akliouche M. (Injury) Bamba A. (Hamstring Injury) Golovin A. (Muscle Injury) Hradecky L. (Knee Injury) Michal L. (International duty) Pogba P. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zakaria D. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Lorient won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 19:33. (average 1.1:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lorient won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:17. (average 1.1:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lorient - Monaco were as follows:
    17.03.2024 Monaco - Lorient 2:2
    17.09.2023 Lorient - Monaco 2:2
    16.04.2023 Monaco - Lorient 3:1
    11.01.2023 Lorient - Monaco 2:2
    Latest results of Lorient
    21.09.2025 Le Havre - Lorient 1:1 ✺
    12.09.2025 Olympique Marseille - Lorient 4:0 ✺
    30.08.2025 Lorient - Lille 1:7 ✺
    24.08.2025 Lorient - Rennes 4:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Auxerre - Lorient 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Monaco
    21.09.2025 Monaco - Metz 5:2 ✺
    18.09.2025 Club Brugge - Monaco 4:1 ✺
    13.09.2025 Auxerre - Monaco 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Monaco - Strasbourg 3:2 ✺
    24.08.2025 Lille - Monaco 1:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1473421:15624
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Angers1554613:17-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Paris FC1544721:26-516
    14Le Havre1536613:21-815
    15Lorient1435618:28-1014
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1525813:24-1111
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

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