Result
06/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Pau
45.8% | Draw
28.3% | Bastia
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Pau - Bastia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.16) |
3.3
(3.3) |
3.56 ↑
(3.19) |
7.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Pau - Bastia?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Pau could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.4:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Bastia?
Pau has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Pau?
Bastia has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Bastia were as follows:
15.08.2025
Bastia
-
Pau
1:1
24.01.2025
Bastia
-
Pau
1:1
22.10.2024
Pau
-
Bastia
1:1
10.05.2024
Pau
-
Bastia
1:2
26.09.2023
Bastia
-
Pau
1:4
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
