Result
1:2
13/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 23
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.97 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/586) | 76% (214/280) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 2.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
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| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
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| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (524/586) | 76% (214/280) |
| Long passes |
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| 63% (30/48) | 46% (18/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (75/112) | 58% (41/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 40 |
| Clearances |
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| 11 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
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| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.34 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', El Farissi A. 🟨,
- 37', Boyer J. 🟨,
- 42', Beusnard S. 🟥,
- 43', Noukeu B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 49', Debes T. 🟨,
- 49', Gourville S. 🟨,
- 60', Kalulu J. 🟨,
- 60', Sissoko O. ↓, Sadik O. ↑,
- 64', Moco Z. ↓, Fatar N. ↑,
- 65', Martin J. ↓, Bultel J. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 1, Lecolier M. ⚽, El Farissi A. (A),
- 70', Meddah D. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
- 79', Boyer J. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
- 79', Lecolier M. ↓, Capuano G. ↑,
- 81', Anziani J. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 2, El Farissi A. ⚽, Bultel J. (A),
- 88', El Farissi A. ↓, Duflos S. ↑,
- 90+2', 1 - 2, Bobichon A. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Pau
51.3% | Draw
27.2% | Boulogne
21.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Boulogne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Pau - Boulogne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.95) |
3.45 ↑
(3.43) |
4.39 ↑
(3.74) |
6.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pau - Boulogne?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Boulogne will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 38.8% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Pau (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pau will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Pau (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Pau is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J.
(Inactive)
Glossoa N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Boulogne: Boiteau L.
(Inactive)
Burlet V.
(Inactive)
Fatou C.
(Inactive)
Keita S.
(Inactive)
Uriev A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Boulogne?
Pau has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Pau?
Boulogne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Boulogne were as follows:
19.09.2025
Boulogne
-
Pau
0:3
Latest results of Boulogne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 47:30 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53:36 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 54 |
| 5 | Reims | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Rodez | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 52 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 39:28 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Annecy | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 46:36 | 10 | 49 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:54 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Clermont | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Nancy | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Laval | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 28:43 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22:37 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Amiens | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 36:57 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
