Wellington Phoenix vs Perth Glory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/02/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League Women - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaChannel 10, Paramount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.710.14
Ball possession
41%59%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
71
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
26
Passes
65% (221/341)75% (372/495)
Yellow cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.710.14
xG on target (xGOT)
1.860.09
Total shots
156
Shots on target
71
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
33
Shots inside the box
92
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2114
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
02
Free kicks
117
Passes
65% (221/341)75% (372/495)
Long passes
37% (23/62)33% (18/54)
Passes in final third
58% (64/111)62% (66/107)
Crosses
31% (5/16)0% (0/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.18
Throw ins
2441
Fouls
711
Tackles
69% (25/36)67% (16/24)
Duels won
7552
Clearances
2526
Interceptions
1710
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.091.86
Goals prevented
0.090.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+4', 1 - 0, Woods M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Wall L. , Elliott M. ,
  • 46', Tathem N. , O'Donoghue S. ,
  • 56', Leon L. , Anthony M. ,
  • 62', Pijnenburg E. , Brazendale D. ,
  • 72', Vlok P. , Benson Z. ,
  • 79', Badawiya R. , Lincoln E. ,
  • 83', Woods M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
67.4%
Draw
19.5%
Perth Glory
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 24.1% 17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3% 23.6% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Phoenix's performance.
  • Perth Glory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wellington Phoenix that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perth Glory than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • Wellington Phoenix - Perth Glory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.54)
    4.7
    (3.77)
    7.02
    (5.34)
    9.2%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 3.
    • Wellington is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Perth Glory has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wellington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Perth Glory has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Wellington is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Wellington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wellington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Perth Glory were as follows:
    12.12.2025 Perth Glory - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    16.02.2025 Perth Glory - Wellington Phoenix 2:1
    03.01.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Perth Glory 2:0
    08.03.2024 Perth Glory - Wellington Phoenix 1:3
    25.11.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Perth Glory 2:1
    Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
    Latest results of Perth Glory
    Australian A-League Women Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Melbourne City W1693429:171230
    2Canberra W1683525:17827
    3Adelaide W1582519:17226
    4Wellington Phoenix W1574429:131625
    5Perth W1672717:22-523
    6Melbourne Victory W1764724:22222
    7Central Coast Mariners W1664625:25022
    8Brisbane Roar W1664626:31-522
    9Newcastle W1652921:28-717
    10WS Wanderers W1744916:31-1516
    11Sydney W1636714:22-815

          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)