Result
10/05/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Hamburger SV
35% | Draw
26.4% | Freiburg
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Hamburger SV - Freiburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.64) |
3.61 ↑
(3.55) |
2.45 ↓
(2.52) |
5.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 1.
- Hamburg has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Freiburg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Freiburg has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:22. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hamburger SV won against Freiburg?
Hamburger SV has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Hamburger SV?
Freiburg has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hamburger SV - Freiburg were as follows:
10.01.2026
Freiburg
-
Hamburger SV
2:1
30.10.2024
Freiburg
-
Hamburger SV
2:1
13.01.2023
Freiburg
-
Hamburger SV
5:2
Latest results of Hamburger SV
Latest results of Freiburg
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 116:35 | 81 | 83 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 65:31 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 63:42 | 21 | 62 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:43 | 23 | 58 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:46 | 20 | 58 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 64:48 | 16 | 58 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 57:60 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:56 | -14 | 40 |
| 10 | Mainz | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 36:51 | -15 | 34 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37:57 | -20 | 33 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 47:55 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37:57 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 41:66 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:69 | -31 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
