Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
18/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 5
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 2
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 4, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.730.59
Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
103
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
73
Passes
80% (360/448)74% (252/340)
Yellow cards
43
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
1.730.59
xG on target (xGOT)
2.601.08
Total shots
1811
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
65
Blocked shots
23
Shots inside the box
77
Shots outside the box
114
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
21
Corner kicks
73
Touches in opposition box
1714
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1216
Passes
80% (360/448)74% (252/340)
Long passes
47% (27/57)42% (30/72)
Passes in final third
69% (86/125)53% (46/87)
Crosses
25% (5/20)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.66
Throw ins
2221
Fouls
1414
Tackles
64% (14/22)80% (16/20)
Duels won
5558
Clearances
2419
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper saves
27
xGOT faced
1.082.60
Goals prevented
0.08-0.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Stage J. , Sugawara Y. (A),
  • 41', 1 - 1, Glatzel R. , Capaldo N. (A),
  • 45', Deman O. 🟨,
  • 45', Konigsdorffer R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', 2 - 1, Stage J. , Puertas C. (A),
  • 58', Muheim M. 🟨,
  • 61', Milosevic J. , Grull M. ,
  • 66', Gronbaek A. , Otele P. ,
  • 67', Stage J. , Bittencourt L. ,
  • 71', Sugawara Y. 🟨,
  • 73', Bittencourt L. 🟨,
  • 75', Muheim M. , Jatta B. ,
  • 75', Konigsdorffer R. , Stange O. ,
  • 79', Otele P. 🟥,
  • 82', Grull M. 🟨,
  • 83', Capaldo N. , Downs D. ,
  • 89', Jatta B. 🟨,
  • 89', Njinmah J. , Stark N. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Puertas C. , Schmid R. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Werder Bremen
52.9%
Draw
25.6%
Hamburger SV
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.6% 26% 27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 25.5% 26.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Werder Bremen's performance.
  • Hamburger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hamburger SV might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Werder Bremen that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hamburger SV could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.81
    (2.04)
    3.73
    (3.65)
    4.4
    (3.47)
    4.7%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Werder will win (votes: 8 - 40%). Hamburg will win (votes: 4 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 18.5%61.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Hamburg (3.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Werder (votes: 1 - 50%). Hamburg (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 15 and 13)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Werder could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Werder: Adeh W. (Knee Injury) Friedl M. (Red Card) Hein K. (Hand Injury) Malatini J. (Ankle Injury) Topp K. (Knee Injury) Weiser M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hamburg: Dompe J. (Foot Injury) Poulsen Y. (Thigh Injury) Rossing-Lelesiit A. (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Werder: Boniface V. (Knee Injury) Stage J. (Muscle Injury) Wober M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hamburg: Lokonga A. S. (Thigh Injury) Vuskovic L. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Werder won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - Hamburger SV were as follows:
    07.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Werder Bremen 3:2
    Latest results of Werder Bremen
    12.04.2026 Köln - Werder Bremen 3:1
    04.04.2026 Werder Bremen - RB Leipzig 1:2
    21.03.2026 Wolfsburg - Werder Bremen 0:1
    15.03.2026 Werder Bremen - Mainz 0:2
    Latest results of Hamburger SV
    12.04.2026 Stuttgart - Hamburger SV 4:0
    04.04.2026 Hamburger SV - Augsburg 1:1
    14.03.2026 Hamburger SV - Köln 1:1
    07.03.2026 Wolfsburg - Hamburger SV 1:2
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 322651116:358183
    2Dortmund32207565:323367
    3RB Leipzig32195863:422162
    4Bayer Leverkusen32177866:432358
    5Stuttgart32177866:462058
    6Hoffenheim32177864:481658
    7Freiburg321281245:53-844
    8Eintracht Frankfurt3211101157:60-343
    9Augsburg321171442:56-1440
    10Mainz329101341:50-937
    11B. Monchengladbach328111337:50-1335
    12Hamburger SV328101436:51-1534
    13Union Berlin32891537:57-2033
    14FC Koln327111447:55-832
    15Werder Bremen32881637:57-2032
    16Wolfsburg32681842:67-2526
    17St. Pauli32681827:55-2826
    18Heidenheim32581938:69-3123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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