Result
1:4
14/02/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 3.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (301/387) | 73% (248/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 3.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 4.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 18 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (301/387) | 73% (248/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/71) | 34% (21/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (70/120) | 63% (65/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 76% (16/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.18 | 1.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Di Giusto M. ⚽, Dorn P. (A),
- 29', 0 - 2, Kabwit O. ⚽,
- 45+1', Comenencia L. ↓, Hack A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kablan C. ↓, Vujevic D. ↑,
- 47', Kabwit O. 🟨,
- 58', Di Giusto N. 🟨,
- 60', Reichmuth M. ↓, Berisha V. ↑,
- 60', Kamberi L. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
- 61', Owusu T. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 3, Freimann B. ⚽, Di Giusto M. (A),
- 68', 0 - 4, Silva Ferreira L. M. ⚽, Kabwit O. (A),
- 72', Bangoura M. 🟨,
- 75', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
- 75', Kabwit O. ↓, Vasovic A. ↑,
- 78', Freimann B. 🟥,
- 80', Di Giusto N. ↓, Fischer P. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 4, Emmanuel U. ⚽, Vujevic D. (A),
Chances of winning
Zürich
31.6% | Draw
27.2% | Luzern
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-1%)
Zürich - Luzern Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.69) |
3.45 ↓
(3.52) |
2.29 ↓
(2.33) |
6.6%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zürich - Luzern?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luzern (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Zürich (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.5 - Zürich (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Luzern will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Zürich (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Luzern (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 2.
- Recent form of Zürich has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Luzern has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Zürich may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Zürich: Perea J.
(Muscle Injury)
Phaeton M.
(Inactive)
Reverson D.
(Yellow Cards)
Stiel J.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Luzern: Lofgren J.
(Hernia)
Spadanuda K.
(Injury)
Villiger L.
(Yellow Cards)
Zimmermann M.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Luzern: Ciganiks A.
(Inactive)
Knezevic S.
(Inactive)
Von Moos J.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:28. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 2:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Luzern?
Zürich has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Zürich?
Luzern has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zürich - Luzern were as follows:
08.11.2025
Zürich
-
Luzern
3:2
03.08.2025
Luzern
-
Zürich
1:1
15.03.2025
Zürich
-
Luzern
3:2
26.01.2025
Luzern
-
Zürich
3:1
01.09.2024
Zürich
-
Luzern
1:1
Swiss Super League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 34 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 75:38 | 37 | 74 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 66:41 | 25 | 63 |
| 3 | Lugano | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 51:38 | 13 | 60 |
| 4 | Sion | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 55 |
| 5 | Basel | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:47 | 4 | 53 |
| 6 | Young Boys | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 66:62 | 4 | 48 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
