Result
3:2
08/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 13
- Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 2.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (342/421) | 75% (208/278) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.75 | 2.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 2.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (342/421) | 75% (208/278) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (30/50) | 39% (23/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (98/143) | 62% (51/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 85% (11/13) | 68% (13/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.53 | 2.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.53 | -0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 2', 0 - 1, Di Giusto M. (Pen),
- 27', Abe T. 🟨,
- 39', Knezevic S. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 2, Von Moos J. ⚽, Di Giusto M. (A),
- 44', Rodic M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Kabwit O. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
- 46', Perea J. ↓, Markelo J. ↑,
- 46', Rodic M. ↓, Comenencia L. ↑,
- 60', Freimann B. 🟨,
- 60', Markelo J. 🟨,
- 61', Krasniqi B. ↓, Phaeton M. ↑,
- 63', Vujevic D. ↓, Reichmuth M. ↑,
- 74', Abe T. 🟥,
- 75', 1 - 2, Markelo J. (Pen),
- 76', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
- 77', Von Moos J. ↓, Grbic A. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Phaeton M. ⚽, Markelo J. (A),
- 84', Tsawa C. ↓, Reverson D. ↑,
- 86', Reichmuth M. 🟨,
- 90+2', Ciganiks A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Keny P. P. (Pen),
- 90+3', Bajrami A. ↓, Villiger L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zürich
41.1% | Draw
26% | Luzern
33% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Zürich - Luzern Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(1.97) |
3.64 ↓
(3.75) |
2.88 ↓
(3.31) |
6.2%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zürich - Luzern?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Zürich will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Luzern will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zürich: 4% – 71%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 2.
- Zürich is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Luzern has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Zürich: Reichmuth M.
(Foot Injury)
Vujevic D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Luzern: Lofgren J.
(Hernia)
Zimmermann M.
(Hip Injury)
- There are questionable in Luzern: Kabwit O.
(Injury)
- We predict that Luzern will win today's game, with odds of 2.9.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:26. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zürich won against Luzern?
Zürich has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luzern won against Zürich?
Luzern has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zürich - Luzern were as follows:
03.08.2025
Luzern
-
Zürich
1:1
15.03.2025
Zürich
-
Luzern
3:2
26.01.2025
Luzern
-
Zürich
3:1
01.09.2024
Zürich
-
Luzern
1:1
18.02.2024
Luzern
-
Zürich
0:1
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 26:14 | 12 | 31 |
| 2 | Basel | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 22 |
| 3 | St. Gallen | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 25:13 | 12 | 21 |
| 4 | Young Boys | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 21:22 | -1 | 19 |
| 5 | Sion | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:15 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Luzern | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 26:22 | 4 | 17 |
| 7 | Lugano | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 16 |
| 8 | Zurich | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 19:25 | -6 | 16 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:19 | 4 | 15 |
| 10 | Servette | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 14 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18:27 | -9 | 13 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 16:36 | -20 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
