Result
1:0
10/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 28
- Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.40 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (171/231) | 86% (410/476) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (171/231) | 86% (410/476) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (31/66) | 57% (27/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (34/63) | 79% (140/178) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 15% (8/52) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.41 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 56 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.12 | 1.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.12 | 0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', Pacheco D. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Savvidis K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Sezonienko K. ↓, Neugebauer T. ↑,
- 61', Gallapeni D. ↓, Lecoeuche Q. ↑,
- 72', Pacheco D. ↓, Kun D. ↑,
- 72', Juric D. ↓, Niarchos G. ↑,
- 75', Dyachuk M. 🟨,
- 77', Niarchos G. 🟨,
- 81', Kapic R. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
- 83', Sekulski L. ↓, Pomorski K. ↑,
- 90+3', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Wisła Płock 33.2% | Draw 27.7% | Lechia Gdańsk 39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wisła Płock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wisła Płock's form might have worsened.Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lechia Gdańsk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wisła Płock than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wisła Płock, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.82 ↑ (2.25) |
3.36 ↑ (3.25) |
2.41 ↓ (2.65) |
6.7% (12.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Wisła Płock will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Lechia will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 0.
- Wisła Płock has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lechia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Wisła Płock has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Wisła Płock: Karamarko M.
(Knee Injury)
Salvador I.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wisła Płock won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Wisła Płock won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Wisła Płock won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Wisła Płock has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Wisła Płock?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Wisła Płock - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
03.10.2025
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Wisła Płock
1:1
12.07.2024
Wisła Płock
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:1
17.02.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Wisła Płock
3:1
04.08.2023
Wisła Płock
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:1
29.01.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Wisła Płock
1:0
Latest results of Wisła Płock
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 49:40 | 9 | 46 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 44:35 | 9 | 43 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 42 |
| 6 | Rakow | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 37:35 | 2 | 40 |
| 7 | GKS Katowice | 28 | 12 | 4 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Motor Lublin | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Lechia Gdansk | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 55:51 | 4 | 37 |
| 10 | Korona Kielce | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 33:33 | 0 | 37 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 13 | Piast Gliwice | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 34:38 | -4 | 35 |
| 14 | Legia | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 34 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 43:42 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 30:47 | -17 | 34 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 33:35 | -2 | 33 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 33:51 | -18 | 25 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1