Lechia Gdańsk vs Korona Kielce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
06/04/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 27
  • Referee: Kwiatkowski T. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
3.121.90
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
94
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
65
Passes
80% (294/368)78% (266/343)
Yellow cards
40
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
3.121.90
xG on target (xGOT)
3.382.70
Total shots
1718
Shots on target
94
Shots off target
35
Blocked shots
59
Shots inside the box
1014
Shots outside the box
74
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
63
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
3540
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
31
Free kicks
614
Passes
80% (294/368)78% (266/343)
Long passes
51% (19/37)33% (14/42)
Passes in final third
71% (94/133)58% (56/97)
Crosses
24% (5/21)13% (2/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.821.02
Throw ins
2025
Fouls
146
Tackles
52% (11/21)50% (4/8)
Duels won
4244
Clearances
3941
Interceptions
43
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
2.703.38
Goals prevented
0.70-0.62

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', Wojtowicz T. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Cirkovic A. , Bobcek T. (A),
  • 27', Sotiriou K. 🟥,
  • 29', 2 - 0, Bobcek T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 33', Davidovic S. , Matuszewski K. ,
  • 45', Mena C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Mena C. , Neugebauer T. ,
  • 46', Wojtowicz T. , Kludka B. ,
  • 59', 3 - 0, Kapic R. , Zhelizko I. (A),
  • 62', Bobcek T. , Kurminowski D. ,
  • 67', Remacle M. , Gustafson S. ,
  • 67', Stepinski M. , Cebula M. ,
  • 67', Dlugosz W. , Zwozny H. ,
  • 75', Sezonienko K. , Viunnyk B. ,
  • 77', Kurminowski D. 🟨,
  • 78', 3 - 1, Blanik D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 82', 3 - 2, Resta P. , Rubezic S. (A),
  • 88', Pieczek M. , Hancko A. ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 2, Kurminowski D. , Neugebauer T. (A),
  • 90+4', Kapic R. , Pllana B. ,
  • 90+6', Pllana B. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lechia Gdańsk
47.4%
Draw
25.9%
Korona Kielce
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.5% 27.3% 29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 27.6% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.19)
    3.62
    (3.48)
    3.51
    (3.26)
    6.1%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Lechia will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Korona will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Lechia: 46.1%91.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lechia Gdańsk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Lechia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Lechia: Bobcek T. (Muscle Injury) Mena C. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lechia: Rodin M. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 3:0
    11.05.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Korona Kielce 3:2
    09.11.2024 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 0:0
    18.02.2023 Korona Kielce - Lechia Gdańsk 1:0
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lech Poznan301410655:411452
    2Gornik Zabrze30147943:34949
    3Jagiellonia301210848:371146
    4Rakow301371043:37646
    5Wisla Plock30129932:28445
    6GKS Katowice301351243:41244
    7Zaglebie301281043:36744
    8Radomiak Radom3010101046:43340
    9Motor Lublin30912939:45-639
    10Piast Gliwice301161339:40-139
    11Lechia Gdansk301271157:54338
    12Korona Kielce301081237:36138
    13Cracovia309111035:38-338
    14Pogon Szczecin301151440:45-538
    15Legia30813934:36-237
    16Widzew Lodz301061436:37-136
    17Arka Gdynia30971431:54-2334
    18Termalica B-B30771636:55-1928

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