Result
3:1
03/05/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 31
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (294/367) | 80% (329/410) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (294/367) | 80% (329/410) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (15/46) | 56% (27/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (55/82) | 60% (67/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (2/9) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 55% (12/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 32 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.10 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Szota S. ⚽,
- 41', Paluszek A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Kurminowski D. ↓, Regula M. ↑,
- 46', Kludka B. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 1, Radwanski A. ⚽,
- 59', Paluszek A. ↓, Matsenko Y. ↑,
- 59', Ortiz A. ↓, Jasper S. ↑,
- 61', Jasper S. 🟨,
- 63', Radwanski A. 🟨,
- 64', 2 - 1, Al Hamlawi A. ⚽,
- 72', Makowski T. ↓, Listkowski M. ↑,
- 72', Pienko T. ↓, Adamski R. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 1, Jezierski J. ⚽,
- 82', Dabrowski D. ↓, Mroz M. ↑,
- 82', Al Hamlawi A. ↓, Guercio T. ↑,
- 84', Michalski D. 🟨,
- 86', Zukowski M. 🟨,
- 88', Pozo J. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
- 88', Jezierski J. ↓, Schierack S. ↑,
- 90+1', Marc L. B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Śląsk Wrocław
47.6% | Draw
25.3% | Zagłębie Lubin
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Śląsk Wrocław has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↓
(2.02) |
3.72 ↑
(3.3) |
3.46 ↑
(3.1) |
6%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Śląsk will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Śląsk: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Zagłębie Lubin (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Śląsk Wrocław will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Śląsk (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 1.
- In recent matches, Śląsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Zagłębie Lubin is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Zagłębie Lubin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Śląsk will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Śląsk: Cebula M.
(Knee Injury)
Musiolik S.
(Inactive)
Pokorny P.
(Injury)
Schwarz P.
(Surgery)
Swierczok J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Injury)
Nalepa M.
(Yellow Cards)
Szafranek W.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Kolan J.
(Injury)
Wdowiak M.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Śląsk won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:32. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Śląsk won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:14. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Śląsk Wrocław won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Śląsk Wrocław has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Śląsk Wrocław?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Śląsk Wrocław - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
04.11.2024
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Śląsk Wrocław
3:0
15.12.2023
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Śląsk Wrocław
1:2
29.07.2023
Śląsk Wrocław
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:2
28.01.2023
Śląsk Wrocław
-
Zagłębie Lubin
0:3
Latest results of Śląsk Wrocław
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 55:41 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 43:34 | 9 | 49 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 48:37 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Rakow | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43:37 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 32:28 | 4 | 45 |
| 6 | GKS Katowice | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 43:41 | 2 | 44 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 44 |
| 8 | Radomiak Radom | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 46:43 | 3 | 40 |
| 9 | Motor Lublin | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 39:45 | -6 | 39 |
| 10 | Piast Gliwice | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 39 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 57:54 | 3 | 38 |
| 12 | Korona Kielce | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 37:36 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
| 14 | Pogon Szczecin | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 40:45 | -5 | 38 |
| 15 | Legia | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | 34:36 | -2 | 37 |
| 16 | Widzew Lodz | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 36:37 | -1 | 36 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 31:54 | -23 | 34 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 36:55 | -19 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
