Zagłębie Lubin vs Radomiak Radom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

11/04/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

KGHM Zaglebie Arena (Lubin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 28
Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 3
Asia	TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Spain	GolStadium
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	Sport 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 1 Baltic

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.97	0.54
Ball possession
36%	64%
Total shots
17	10
Shots on target
3	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
1	3
Passes
61% (149/245)	77% (324/421)
Yellow cards
2	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.97	0.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.59	0.00
Total shots
17	10
Shots on target
3	0
Shots off target
8	7
Blocked shots
6	3
Shots inside the box
11	6
Shots outside the box
6	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
1	3
Touches in opposition box
23	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	0
Free kicks
14	24
Passes
61% (149/245)	77% (324/421)
Long passes
40% (25/63)	40% (25/62)
Passes in final third
57% (59/104)	65% (73/112)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	33% (8/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.82	1.00
Throw ins
18	12
Fouls
24	14
Tackles
41% (7/17)	40% (4/10)
Duels won
62	65
Clearances
35	25
Interceptions
12	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
0	2
xGOT faced
0.00	0.59
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Regula M. ⚽, Radwanski A. (A),
40', Joao Pedro 🟨,
41', Dieguez A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Joao Pedro ↓, Zie Ouattara ↑,
46', Baro R. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
57', Radwanski A. 🟨,
61', Leandro 🟨,
64', Regula M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
68', Lopes V. ↓, Soumah S. ↑,
73', Radwanski A. ↓, Kowalczyk S. ↑,
73', Szabo L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
77', Wolski R. ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
86', Luquinhas ↓, Balde E. ↑,
86', Camara I. 🟨,
88', Kocaba F. ↓, Dabrowski D. ↑,
88', Corluka J. ↓, Grzybek M. ↑,
90+5', Buric J. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Zagłębie Lubin
40%

Draw
27.9%

Radomiak Radom
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

26.2%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Lubin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Radomiak Radom has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.33)	3.35 ↑ (3.28)	2.89 ↑ (2.53)	7.3% (12.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom?

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Radomiak will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Recently, Radomiak has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Hladun D. (Shoulder Injury) Yakuba R. (Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Radomiak: Alves R. (Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Lawniczak A. (Inactive)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:13. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Radomiak Radom?

Zagłębie Lubin has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Zagłębie Lubin?

Radomiak Radom has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom were as follows:

04.10.2025 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 3:1

25.09.2025 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 0:2

05.04.2025 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 0:1

29.09.2024 Zagłębie Lubin - Radomiak Radom 1:0

28.04.2024 Radomiak Radom - Zagłębie Lubin 3:4

Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin

07.04.2026 Arka Gdynia - Zagłębie Lubin 3:1 ✺

20.03.2026 Motor Lublin - Zagłębie Lubin 1:0 ✺

15.03.2026 Zagłębie Lubin - Lech Poznań 0:1 ✺

07.03.2026 Piast Gliwice - Zagłębie Lubin 1:3 ✺

02.03.2026 Zagłębie Lubin - Wisła Płock 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Radomiak Radom

06.04.2026 Radomiak Radom - Motor Lublin 1:1 ✺

20.03.2026 Piast Gliwice - Radomiak Radom 3:1 ✺

13.03.2026 Radomiak Radom - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Radomiak Radom - GKS Katowice 0:1 ✺

05.03.2026 Radomiak Radom - Arka Gdynia 3:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lech Poznan	30	14	10	6	55:41	14	52
2	Gornik Zabrze	30	14	7	9	43:34	9	49
3	Jagiellonia	30	12	10	8	48:37	11	46
4	Rakow	30	13	7	10	43:37	6	46
5	Wisla Plock	30	12	9	9	32:28	4	45
6	GKS Katowice	30	13	5	12	43:41	2	44
7	Zaglebie	30	12	8	10	43:36	7	44
8	Radomiak Radom	30	10	10	10	46:43	3	40
9	Motor Lublin	30	9	12	9	39:45	-6	39
10	Piast Gliwice	30	11	6	13	39:40	-1	39
11	Lechia Gdansk	30	12	7	11	57:54	3	38
12	Korona Kielce	30	10	8	12	37:36	1	38
13	Cracovia	30	9	11	10	35:38	-3	38
14	Pogon Szczecin	30	11	5	14	40:45	-5	38
15	Legia	30	8	13	9	34:36	-2	37
16	Widzew Lodz	30	10	6	14	36:37	-1	36
17	Arka Gdynia	30	9	7	14	31:54	-23	34
18	Termalica B-B	30	7	7	16	36:55	-19	28

      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Division 1