Result
1:0
17/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 11
- Referee: Benitez J. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (464/563) | 65% (160/245) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (464/563) | 65% (160/245) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (20/48) | 28% (17/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (88/141) | 55% (41/75) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Franco Zayas A. F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Lezcano R. ↓, Quintana H. ↑,
- 46', Maiz A. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 46', Gamarra J. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
- 62', Ferreira S. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 0, Ortiz R. ⚽, Caceres R. (A),
- 70', Ortiz R. ↓, Alfaro J. F. ↑,
- 71', Franco Zayas A. F. ↓, Silva A. ↑,
- 76', Bogado G. ↓, Benitez F. ↑,
- 76', Ruiz O. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
- 76', Maggi I. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
- 85', Sanchez R. ↓, Perez R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Olimpia Asuncion
52.8% | Draw
27% | Sportivo Luqueño
20.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olimpia Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpia Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.76 ↓
(1.83) |
3.44 ↓
(3.57) |
4.52 ↑
(4.11) |
8.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1.5 - Sportivo Luqueño (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Olimpia (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Olimpia Asuncion will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Olimpia Asuncion will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Olimpia (votes: 3 - 75%). Sportivo Luqueño (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 5.
- Olimpia has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Sportivo Luqueño has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sportivo Luqueño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Olimpia is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Olimpia will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:21. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 29:7. (average 3.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Olimpia Asuncion won against Sportivo Luqueño?
Olimpia Asuncion has won 11 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Luqueño won against Olimpia Asuncion?
Sportivo Luqueño has won 1 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpia Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño were as follows:
21.11.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Olimpia Asuncion
2:4
30.08.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
2:0
19.04.2025
Olimpia Asuncion
-
Sportivo Luqueño
3:1
09.02.2025
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
28.11.2024
Sportivo Luqueño
-
Olimpia Asuncion
0:1
Latest results of Olimpia Asuncion
Latest results of Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 32 |
| 3 | Ameliano | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 24 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 22:17 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Guarani | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 21 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 21:16 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 15 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11:24 | -13 | 14 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:24 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 15 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 10:33 | -23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
